Search found 15 matches

by "Phil Odence"
Wed Mar 15, 2000 8:28 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: System Dynamics: Art, Science or Profession
Replies: 19
Views: 13146

System Dynamics: Art, Science or Profession

In response to Jay Forrests: Once again we seem to arrive at the chasm that seems to separate those who model for insight and those who model for output. There seems to be little common ground between these two perspectives. Jay, as you know I am firmly in the insight camp, however I think you are b...
by "Phil Odence"
Wed Feb 16, 2000 7:44 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD: Simply another tool for public policy development?
Replies: 14
Views: 8748

SD: Simply another tool for public policy development?

> Lots of us believe feedback is as > basic as integration to system dynamics. My take was that Kim was saying feedback IS as basic as integration, AND integration (I prefer accumulation) is as basic as feedback. Stock flow maps give us both. CLDs convey part only part of the story. > I am slowly mo...
by "Phil Odence"
Fri Feb 11, 2000 8:52 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Reference models for hospital department management
Replies: 1
Views: 2044

Reference models for hospital department management

With the ithink software, HPS ships a model that looks at expansion options
for an hospital emergency care facility and looks at impact on loading in
critical care. Additionally, that model is written up as one of about 15
cases in the Business Applications guide.

Phil Odence
podence@hps-inc.com
by "Phil Odence"
Wed Jan 05, 2000 12:01 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Resource allocation models
Replies: 28
Views: 40894

Resource allocation models

Rod Brown is right, time is "a tricky issue." And, in my experience, definitely causes confusion for novice modelers. Maybe this will help clarify. I am pretty confident that it never makes sense to think about time as a stock. It is the ultimate flow; it never accumulates. (Although as Ro...
by "Phil Odence"
Fri Sep 10, 1999 7:43 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: DISCRETE SIMULATIONS PLUS SYSTEM DYNAMICS
Replies: 5
Views: 5350

DISCRETE SIMULATIONS PLUS SYSTEM DYNAMICS

>Did someone work mixing discrete-event simulation (eg: ARENA software) with >System Dynamics? or do someone know some work about it? If the answer is >yes, was it on the Production/Operations Management field? The ithink and STELLA software have some limited discrete funtionality. It tends to be us...
by "Phil Odence"
Thu Sep 02, 1999 8:17 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Compartmental System
Replies: 11
Views: 9009

Compartmental System

A step back from Oddurs question... Although mathematically an arrayed formulation works for the hospital system Oddur describes, one shouldnt lose sight of the value of a map that enables interested parties to visualize patient flows between the compartments. In work with hospitals (though, in gene...
by "Phil Odence"
Wed Sep 01, 1999 8:18 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Compartmental System
Replies: 11
Views: 9009

Compartmental System

[the model is located at http://www.vensim.com/sdmail/models/SD2339.ITM ] The attached ithink model (can be opened with STELLA; you can get a free runtime at www.hps-inc.com, if you dont have the software) handles Oddurs compartment question rather compactly (4 elements). The trick is to calculate h...
by "Phil Odence"
Fri Jul 30, 1999 8:12 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Where Do Babies Come From
Replies: 3
Views: 3788

Where Do Babies Come From

> > for example, has babies emerging > >from a "cloud", a device I find extremely counterintuitive, when its > >obviously a circular flow. > Babies are a bad example for explaining a cloud. If you push beyond the JimHs physical/chemical explanation you get into all kinds of metaphysical mu...
by "Phil Odence"
Thu Jun 10, 1999 7:23 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: S Shaped growth followed by decline
Replies: 8
Views: 8706

S Shaped growth followed by decline

John, I believe there are some pretty simple explanations. Ill try to articulate them below. If it would help, I could throw together a simple ithink model which would do a better job than the words. Phil Odence HPS A typical s-shaped growth model is structured as a customer stock built by a gaining...
by "Phil Odence"
Thu May 06, 1999 8:07 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: model for hospital discharge planning ?
Replies: 1
Views: 2744

model for hospital discharge planning ?

RE: Carmen Husts inquiry about hospital models Carmen, You might check out a model HPS developed that looks at patient flow from Emergency Care to Critcal Care and out. A version is available with the ithink demo availble on the HPS website (www.hps-inc.com). Its also written up in detail in the Bus...
by "Phil Odence"
Thu May 06, 1999 7:37 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: System Dynamics Societys Priorities
Replies: 21
Views: 13092

System Dynamics Societys Priorities

Gary H beat me to it. Had I been quicker, I would have written something
very close to Garys words on the role of LEs in making SD insights
accessible. Thanks, Gary.

Phil Odence
High Performance Systems
podence@hps-inc.com
by "Phil Odence"
Wed Mar 24, 1999 8:10 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Transparency of Model Structures in Learning Environments
Replies: 1
Views: 2289

Transparency of Model Structures in Learning Environments

A few thoughts regarding Sauds inquiry about making model struture transparent: - Lead with behavior, then with structure. Weve found that people get a lot more interested in structure, once they experienced some behavior that they wish to have explained. - Use simplified versions of structure. Gene...
by "Phil Odence"
Mon Mar 22, 1999 8:14 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Discrete Event Simulation v. System Dynamics
Replies: 13
Views: 10629

Discrete Event Simulation v. System Dynamics

I think the feedback issue is often related to a timeframe component as well. Queuing models may run over a hours or days, but if it takes weeks or months for potential queue-ees to build up expectations for queuing times, that model would not/could not take that into account except as an exogenous ...
by "Phil Odence"
Wed May 22, 1996 10:33 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: But what do I do if I dont
Replies: 0
Views: 1410

But what do I do if I dont

Reply to: But what do I do if I dont have a master handy? Fr: Phil Odence, podence@hps-inc.com In response to John Ss and Jim Ts discussion about finding someone else to work with: Study at the foot of the master is great, but even though there are twice as many feet as masters, they are still scarc...
by "Phil Odence"
Fri May 10, 1996 12:49 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Example of Simulation S
Replies: 0
Views: 1382

Example of Simulation S

Reply to: RE>>Example of Simulation Success (SD0194) From: Phil Odence, podence@hps-inc.com Regarding Jim Hines and Bill Cutlers discussion of Americas Cup sloop design. *********** yes and... I underscore Jims reaction to Bills excellent example. The other point raised by the example is that in boa...