Search found 11 matches

by Alexander Leus
Fri Mar 22, 2002 12:11 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: On information quality and appropriateness
Replies: 3
Views: 7700

On information quality and appropriateness

It seems like we are talking about the utilization of "fuzzy logic", that gray area between the black and white areas. Fuzzy logic is utilized in many areas of engineering design applications from space crafts to washing machines and even in the area of law. Am I on the same page as Profes...
by Alexander Leus
Mon Mar 18, 2002 10:10 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: This List and The System Dynamics Society
Replies: 8
Views: 13004

This List and The System Dynamics Society

John I really appreciated your snake story analogy. I find that my reactions to different situations surely falls into this category, and embarrassing to say I am 59 years old, retired and should know better. I am not a member of SD and probably wont be, but I really enjoy the dialog that takes plac...
by Alexander Leus
Sun Dec 09, 2001 12:37 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: A causes B
Replies: 14
Views: 27660

A causes B

I have been away from the area of physics for some time. But if my memory has not failed me, once one enters the atomic world, the world of particle physics, cause and effect become possibly an illusion, fuzzy. I cant believe I said that, after being an engineer for so long. Does "cause and eff...
by Alexander Leus
Sun Nov 18, 2001 10:51 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Probability of Attractiveness Multiplier
Replies: 3
Views: 9976

Probability of Attractiveness Multiplier

Geoff Coyle, I guess I did miss the point, I was trying to share the idea that there is uncertainty in everything, except death and taxes. The probability distribution approach was one way of expressing uncertainty in a quantitative manner. I think it is fair to say that no matter how confident one ...
by Alexander Leus
Thu Nov 15, 2001 9:23 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Probability of Attractiveness Multiplier
Replies: 3
Views: 9976

Probability of Attractiveness Multiplier

With regards to Geoff Coyles comments below: Another possible approach to utilizing X=A*B*C is to express each one has a probability distribution. For example A could be a Triangular Distribution with a Low, Expected Value, High. This distribution comes from subject matter expertise. If you know muc...
by Alexander Leus
Wed Nov 14, 2001 11:11 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Environmental Models & Strategies
Replies: 0
Views: 9493

Environmental Models & Strategies

> I have volunteered to assist a committee in Nature Trails and > Environmental Education in the Tellico Reservoir Area near Vonore > Tennessee in the USA. The committee is part of WATeR (Water Association of the > Tellico Reservoir). I am interested in applying system thinking > approaches to devel...
by Alexander Leus
Wed Oct 10, 2001 11:53 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Unwarranted Criticism
Replies: 16
Views: 21578

Unwarranted Criticism

Hi Ted, I am in agreement with you. I spent many years of my early engineering days modeling engineering systems with linear and non-linear differential equations etc., and worked myself into the really hard stuff called business system dynamics. The approach of SD methodology is identical , in my o...
by Alexander Leus
Wed Jan 03, 2001 11:06 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Order to Delivery for Automotive Industry
Replies: 0
Views: 6336

Order to Delivery for Automotive Industry

Happy New Year!! I am interested in reviewing dynamic models of " Order To Delivery" of an automobile. I am particularly interested in including the purchasing, design, supplier chains, dealers etc. workflow dynamics in the model. The vision I have in mind includes a global perspective of ...
by Alexander Leus
Fri Aug 11, 2000 5:32 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Quantifying soft data
Replies: 16
Views: 15258

Quantifying soft data

Sala, I need a little more information from you. What is the purpose of your dynamic model? Are you modeling the work flow of the various organizations versus the customer requirements etc. to enhance the work flow process? Does the work flow process include Doctors, Nurses, Admin people etc.? What ...
by Alexander Leus
Sun Jul 23, 2000 10:47 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Consulting Business Model
Replies: 5
Views: 23432

Consulting Business Model

Ms. Tullar,
Refer to the "i" Think software package reference materials by High
Performance Inc. They have a consultanting model already done that you
may use as a reference.

Sincerely,
Alex Leus
From: Alexander Leus <leusa@tds.net>
by Alexander Leus
Mon Jun 26, 2000 11:35 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: linking flow to flow directly?
Replies: 9
Views: 35942

linking flow to flow directly?

I am in agreement with you Professor Coyle. I am an ex control system engineer, it is amazing what a process model of a single time delay and a 2nd order differential equation can do for you. If I am understanding your comments Professor Coyle, a time delay process with proportional control only wil...