Search found 5 matches

by j.swanson@sdg.co.uk
Wed Apr 29, 1998 10:47 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Forecasting accuracy
Replies: 14
Views: 31780

Forecasting accuracy

=20 I have been asked to consider developing a strategic model to look at=20 transport policy. The brief asks for a "Stategic Assessment Tool" to=20 "assess the consequences of alternative transport and development=20 strategies". So far so good. Then it says the model must be ab...
by j.swanson@sdg.co.uk
Tue Apr 21, 1998 12:09 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Some applications of SD
Replies: 0
Views: 1464

Some applications of SD

I have been involved in two discussions recently on topics where it=20 seemed to me that SD could make a useful contribution, but they are=20 both outside my area of professional activity. I wonder if anyone has= =20 attempted to address either of them? =20 The first is welfare reform. Most reforms ...
by j.swanson@sdg.co.uk
Mon Apr 20, 1998 10:31 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Investment appraisal for roads
Replies: 0
Views: 1427

Investment appraisal for roads

=20 Appraisal of road construction projects in the UK is handled on an=20 econometric basis. Essentially it is cost-benefit analysis (CBA), and= =20 there is a computer program called COBA that has been used here for=20 many years to to this. The main benefit recognised in COBA is the=20 time saving...
by j.swanson@sdg.co.uk
Thu Apr 09, 1998 2:23 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Validity of Models
Replies: 4
Views: 6991

Validity of Models

John Gunkler raises some interesting questions. Reading "Industrial=20 Dynamics" a few years ago changed how I think about models, but=20 unfortunately it didnt change the views of the kinds of clients I=20 work for! Forrester and others have described vividly what they mean=20 by validity...
by j.swanson@sdg.co.uk
Fri Apr 03, 1998 4:58 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Forecasting accuracy
Replies: 14
Views: 31780

Forecasting accuracy

My thanks to those who offered such thoughtful responses to my earlier= =20 posting. =20 Bill Buchanan asked Transport of what? - its about movements of=20 people and freight in an urban area in the UK. =20 Bill Braun asked about the confidence limits. None were set - just=20 the text I quoted. I su...