Search found 12 matches

by Jay Forrest
Thu Nov 20, 2003 7:41 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Manufacturing Control Systems
Replies: 30
Views: 51950

Manufacturing Control Systems

Well said, John. I would add that in my experience the boundaries of the economic model reinforces the mental boundaries of the users - either by inference (for those who are aware of the model boundaries) or by implicit acceptance (by those who dont know the model bounds and limits and merely accep...
by Jay Forrest
Mon Jul 28, 2003 9:10 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Where are we in the Long waves
Replies: 12
Views: 9733

Where are we in the Long waves

Thanks for the comments Bill! I think I would argue that delocalization of manufacturing is potentially approaching a limit. Seems like 2/3 of the non-electronic products I pick up are made in China or India. Somewhere between lower labor costs and productivity many products seem to be as inexpensiv...
by Jay Forrest
Mon Jul 28, 2003 8:09 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Where are we in the Long waves
Replies: 12
Views: 9733

Where are we in the Long waves

Hi Geoff! When I say I am "comfortable" with an outlook of decline, I intended to indicate that I find decline a very viable scenario - not that I nor the world should view decline as a preferable or attractive future. I personally feel (part systems thinking/part gut) that the US in parti...
by Jay Forrest
Thu Jul 24, 2003 8:53 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Where are we in the Long waves
Replies: 12
Views: 9733

Where are we in the Long waves

I think you are asking a very important question. I think there is a bit of chicken and egg aspect to the answer that is highly perceptual though and should be recognized up front. I would tend to suggest that productivity is the primary driver combined with corporate globalization, delocalization (...
by Jay Forrest
Fri Jul 26, 2002 10:17 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Differential equations
Replies: 25
Views: 39870

Differential equations

In his response, Niall compares induced voltage otation of an electric field to velocity. As a ChE I am out of my element with voltage. I am confident I understand the concept of velocity better than voltage, so I began parsing Nialls comments with Velocity. Velocity seems more like an arbitrary pro...
by Jay Forrest
Thu Jul 18, 2002 10:34 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Watershed Modeling
Replies: 3
Views: 4064

Watershed Modeling

Good question Bill! I would say, no, that it is still not a desirable case for allowing a negative stock... My logic is based on the fact that the dynamics of depleting the water in the pond bed is very different than the dynamics of evaporation, animal drinking, etc. in the above zero state. While ...
by Jay Forrest
Fri Jul 12, 2002 7:37 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Representing constraints
Replies: 30
Views: 44000

Representing constraints

This is perhaps more semantic than literal, but I would tend to suggest that considering a backlog a negative stock is more a convenience than proper. A unit of backlog does not seem perfectly equivalent to a unit of product. Suppose we define backlog is a positive stock of unfilled orders (or a pos...
by Jay Forrest
Tue Jun 25, 2002 11:27 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD Reviews of A New Kind of Science by Stephen
Replies: 0
Views: 3024

SD Reviews of A New Kind of Science by Stephen

Greetings Peter! Unfortunately your link to slashdot seems to be dead so I cant respond directly to what you read, but it seems to have given you an erroneous interpretation of Wolframs book. Wolfram clearly does not suggest that the relatively simple cellular automata (or rules based systems) he es...
by Jay Forrest
Thu Mar 21, 2002 12:52 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: On information quality and appropriateness
Replies: 3
Views: 7700

On information quality and appropriateness

Hi Jim! My immediate response to your list is that, in contradiction to Prof. Forresters suggestion of not viewing his list of elements as "desirable" or "undesirable", you selected scales for these words which frequently carry clear positive and/or negative connotation. Your cho...
by Jay Forrest
Thu Mar 21, 2002 11:39 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD Models from Written Text
Replies: 30
Views: 28395

SD Models from Written Text

I agree that a model from text process or program would be quite useful. My facilitation experience leads me to focus on three serious hurdles to success in generating meaningful models from text. These hurdles suggest to me that a model parser would only be useful for suggesting preliminary models ...
by Jay Forrest
Tue Mar 19, 2002 10:17 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD Models from Written Text???
Replies: 2
Views: 3196

SD Models from Written Text???

Two observations seem pertinent. 1) There is a difference between deriving a model from text and developing a model in an interview process. This thread started (as I recall) with George Richardson suggesting that it would be interesting to have expert modelers take the same information (text) and o...
by Jay Forrest
Mon Dec 10, 2001 9:54 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: A causes B
Replies: 14
Views: 27647

A causes B

Hi Alex! Philosophers have long suggested that humans perceptions of "cause and effect" are effectively incomplete and not necessarily reflective of reality. In quantum physics we see this phenomenon clearly, where perspective, tools, and paradigms dictate the nature of the perceived reali...