Search found 15 matches

by Joel Rahn
Wed Dec 15, 2004 7:43 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Fuzzy logic, SD, and Business Policies
Replies: 3
Views: 8937

Fuzzy logic, SD, and Business Policies

A fuzzy relation between two variables can be de-fuzzified to make a LOOKUP function Vensim (formerly TABLE function in DYNAMO) and a LOOKUP function can represent a fuzzy relation between two variables. The whole argument rests on a representation theorem for fuzzy relations that says, essentially,...
by Joel Rahn
Tue Nov 09, 2004 4:07 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: The study of hurricanes
Replies: 8
Views: 11654

The study of hurricanes

In reply to George Simpson's REPLY: A large model is anything but transparent. I was not thinking of using a neural network to replace an SD model. I just thought that the parameters of the network model might say something about where the important loops are i.e. the loops that dominate a certain b...
by Joel Rahn
Sun Nov 07, 2004 3:24 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: The study of hurricanes
Replies: 8
Views: 11654

The study of hurricanes

Perhaps the question we should be asking ourselves on this list is whether a neural network model of an SD model could tell us something about the important causes of the model's behaviour, and if so, is it more efficient to use a neural network instead of the dominant-loop or dominant-mode approach...
by Joel Rahn
Sun Nov 07, 2004 3:18 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: The study of hurricanes
Replies: 8
Views: 11654

The study of hurricanes

Wolfram's approach exploits the properties of cellular automata first made famous (early 70s) by Conway's Game of Life in which local rules for creating/destroying cells give rise to intriguing patterns on a monitor when the cells are represented as pixels that are lit or dark according to the state...
by Joel Rahn
Thu Oct 28, 2004 11:55 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD vs System Design Engineering
Replies: 2
Views: 7119

SD vs System Design Engineering

At a presentation of the SD approach to resource management (human,
equipment, financial resources), someone asked how SD compares with
System Design Engineering. Any enlightenment from this list would be
welcome. Thanks

Joel Rahn
jrahn@sympatico.ca
by Joel Rahn
Mon Oct 18, 2004 12:36 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Dynamical Systems and System Dynamics ??
Replies: 12
Views: 19238

Dynamical Systems and System Dynamics ??

I hesitate to stir up this sort of hornet's nest but field theories (electro-magnetic, acoustic,...) do not use material stocks and flows and they can represent such phenomena as the Doppler effect. However quantized versions (photons, phonons,...) use flows and densities (i.e. numbers per unit volu...
by Joel Rahn
Fri Jun 11, 2004 10:15 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: AnyLogic Software
Replies: 7
Views: 9694

AnyLogic Software

Gord Kubanek (and I to a lesser extent) is looking at Anylogic as an
alternative to SD for HR problems. Should have something to say in about
a month.
Joel Rahn
jrahn@sympatico.ca
by Joel Rahn
Tue Feb 03, 2004 11:39 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Using Statistics in Dynamics Models
Replies: 28
Views: 21031

Using Statistics in Dynamics Models

Jim Hines wrote: >J.J. Laubles is extremely clear (and concise!) in providing the principle >that must guide much (but maybe not all?) statistical testing: If you can >prove A implies B with only a 5% chance of error. And, if you can prove that >B is not true, then youve proved that A is not true wi...
by Joel Rahn
Thu Jan 29, 2004 8:23 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Using Statistics in Dynamics Models
Replies: 28
Views: 21031

Using Statistics in Dynamics Models

John Sterman wrote: > My good friend Jim Hines "question[s] whether statistical estimates > have any rational claim on our attention other than widespread use and > anecdotal evidence of usefulness." Jim wants rigorous demonstrations > of the value of statistical reasoning and estimation m...
by Joel Rahn
Tue Dec 02, 2003 1:53 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Manufacturing Control Systems
Replies: 30
Views: 52169

Manufacturing Control Systems

Jim Hines wrote: >Ray says " Lets make sure we are talking about the same thing. " > >So just to be clear, were talking about two separate dimensions of a >model: A time dimension and an event dimension. Time can be either >discrete or continuous. Events can either be discrete or [insert a...
by Joel Rahn
Tue Dec 02, 2003 12:55 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Manufacturing Control Systems
Replies: 30
Views: 52169

Manufacturing Control Systems

Now that I know what we are talking about, and inspired by Jims diagrams, I suggested that "repeated event" describes Jims "extended event" when it occurs in discrete time and "interval event" describes a Hinesian "extended event" in continuous time. Sorry it ...
by Joel Rahn
Sat May 10, 2003 10:34 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Number of replications
Replies: 5
Views: 5173

Number of replications

You are dealing with confidence intervals. A good simulation text like Law & Kelton will give you an answer with the usual caveats about using such intervals. A quick answer is: no. of replications = Variance* (z(alpha/2)/half-interval of confidence)^2 where: z(alpha/2) is the appropriate Normal...
by Joel Rahn
Tue May 06, 2003 11:54 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD Models applied to logistics
Replies: 3
Views: 4009

SD Models applied to logistics

This seems to be a model about recycling. If so, the classic reference is Jorgen Randers chapter in Dynamics of Growth in a Finite World. Another source of inspiration may be an issue of Interfaces published by The ORMS Society (or INFORMS as it is now) in 2001 I believe. There was an article about ...
by Joel Rahn
Tue May 06, 2003 11:34 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Model to link engineering, markets, finance
Replies: 1
Views: 2392

Model to link engineering, markets, finance

The classic reference, as many will no doubt reply, is Jim Lyneis book: Lyneis, J. M., Corporate Planning and Policy Design, MIT Press, 1980. Check with Pegasus Communications for current availability. Jims book does not deal in _great_ detail with the engineering/operations sector but it has the es...
by Joel Rahn
Tue Apr 29, 2003 3:20 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Work on the Spread of SARS
Replies: 2
Views: 3160

Work on the Spread of SARS

A short answer to Daniel Janoschs question is: The SARS epidemic is worthy of caution but not yet panic. Media hysteria has not been abated by the way public health authorities have handled the ever-changing information about the disease and its spread. From my vantage point here in Quebec City, I w...