Search found 6 matches

by Jay Forrest
Wed Nov 05, 1997 9:54 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD and the ELEVATOR
Replies: 2
Views: 2740

SD and the ELEVATOR

I really enjoyed Lanes physics metaphors and stories for the elevator speech! When pressed to describe my role in a few words I usually say, "I help goldfish recognize and understand water!" Jay Forrest The Strategic Decision Simulation Group (SDSG, L.L.C.) jayf@sdsg.com http://www.sdsg.co...
by Jay Forrest
Wed Oct 22, 1997 4:20 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Risk Work
Replies: 10
Views: 7599

Risk Work

I reread my recent message when I received it today and determined that I owe everyone one more piece of information. When I say large model I am particularly referring to models of 200-400 or more variables. Some may feel existing SD software handles that number reasonably, but I believe a better v...
by Jay Forrest
Tue Oct 21, 1997 9:16 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Risk Work
Replies: 10
Views: 7599

Risk Work

At 03:49 PM 10/16/97 -0400, you wrote: >I liked Jay Forrests comments on risk, but found one item puzzling: > >>3) System dynamics is more appropriate for understanding patterns of >>behavior and less appropriate for precise modeling. Hi Tom! Sorry to be so slow. I was in transit when it was receive...
by Jay Forrest
Fri Sep 26, 1997 9:14 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Risk Work
Replies: 10
Views: 7599

Risk Work

I would like to build on Bob Walkers comments on Risk Work. My views are based upon several key observations: 1) Organizations and individuals in organizations often evolve into shockingly narrow paradigms (and visions of their work and business environment) over time. 2) This limits vision such tha...
by Jay Forrest
Sun Jul 13, 1997 3:58 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: leverage points
Replies: 29
Views: 10643

leverage points

Robert Glitz wrote: >Jay, could you give me a real-world example each of a high exposure >leverage point and a Low exposure one, please? A low exposure variable would have limited exposure to influence by other variables. In certain mental models, selling price may be a low exposure variable -- for ...
by Jay Forrest
Wed Jul 09, 1997 9:51 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: leverage points
Replies: 29
Views: 10643

leverage points

At SDSG, LLC (The Strategic Decision Simulation Group), we have been refining methods for identifying leverage points in systemic models for several years. James Ritchie-Dunham of SDSG will be presenting a paper on our methodologies at the International SD conference in Istanbul in August. In Donell...