Search found 73 matches

by Bill Braun
Wed Nov 04, 1998 7:23 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Systems of problems
Replies: 5
Views: 7819

Systems of problems

In a number of recent threads many have cautioned against using SD to model systems. Rather, its best application is when it is problem focused. I believe that Akoff said that one aspect of applying systems thinking was to think in terms of systems of problems (his way, I took it, of using expansion...
by Bill Braun
Thu Oct 29, 1998 9:06 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Forecasting accuracy
Replies: 14
Views: 31749

Forecasting accuracy

This seems to be a project specific question that is in line with the recent discussion on Validity of Models. Reading through that thread might offer some preliminary insight. Your question appears to reflect that you have accepted their requirements as the defacto framework for thinking and respon...
by Bill Braun
Fri Oct 02, 1998 10:32 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD Brochure
Replies: 1
Views: 3011

SD Brochure

Ill suggest making an attempt to describe SD without making any direct
reference to it. This will limit you to pretty common words but will get
the idea across.

Bill Braun
From: Bill Braun <medprac@hlthsys.com>
by Bill Braun
Fri Sep 11, 1998 7:47 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Call Center Model question
Replies: 2
Views: 3726

Call Center Model question

Exact URL is http://www.ctg.albany.edu
esources
ptwplst.html

Entitled "Voice Information Response System ", it is near the bottom of the
page.

Bill Braun
From: Bill Braun <medprac@hlthsys.com>
by Bill Braun
Fri Aug 14, 1998 8:37 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Influencing the public sector
Replies: 1
Views: 2689

Influencing the public sector

snip for space >Given another 20 years, enough schools should be converted to a dynamic >education to make a significant impact on the student output stream. In 20 >years beyond that, the output of such schools will be finding their way >into leadership positions in corporations and government. > >S...
by Bill Braun
Mon Aug 10, 1998 4:29 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD Self-Study Curriculum
Replies: 4
Views: 6847

SD Self-Study Curriculum

I wish to advance my studies in SD. Being a small business owner precludes me from taking time from work to attend classes. What would be your recommendation for a self-study curriculum? Book titles and other resources are appreciated. Any opinions on what I should study first, or at least what you ...
by Bill Braun
Mon Jul 27, 1998 6:54 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Computer-aided means of exploring complex causality
Replies: 4
Views: 4807

Computer-aided means of exploring complex causality

Since you are at Harvard, get in touch with the System Dynamics in
Education group. Im sure they can give you everything you seek.

Bill Braun
From: Bill Braun <medprac@hlthsys.com>
by Bill Braun
Mon Jul 06, 1998 9:53 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: System dynamics in K-12 education
Replies: 9
Views: 9271

System dynamics in K-12 education

As an initial response I would say that the exploration of the actual relationship between variables (constants, auxiliaries, stocks, flows) from a math and/or algebraic point of view should not precede the students exposure to these skills. To the extent that some of this is covered in high school,...
by Bill Braun
Mon Jun 29, 1998 9:43 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Causal Loop Diagraming Tool
Replies: 7
Views: 10346

Causal Loop Diagraming Tool

Powersim Constructor 2.5 has such capabilities.

Bill Braun
From: Bill Braun <medprac@hlthsys.com>
by Bill Braun
Tue Mar 17, 1998 6:55 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Modeling in groups: who does that?
Replies: 6
Views: 4335

Modeling in groups: who does that?

I draw a distinction between conceptualizing a model (by working at a flip chart with people, developing thinking lists and connections, causal loop diagrams and SD model sketches) and actually building the SD model (I work in PowerSim) and testing it. My opinion is that group think is indispensible...
by Bill Braun
Mon Oct 20, 1997 7:07 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Risk Work
Replies: 10
Views: 5303

Risk Work

Jay Forrests comment about precise modeling is an acknowledgement that as systems become more complex, the probability of designing a model that 1) has every single relevant variable accounted for and 2) describes the dynamic relationship between every varaible with absolute accuracy is likely never...
by Bill Braun
Fri Sep 26, 1997 3:59 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD and Racism
Replies: 6
Views: 4808

SD and Racism

Many thanks to George, Gary Sharon and Joel for the references. As it turns out, Ed Roberts book is sitting on my bookshelf and I did not recall that it addresses the issue, at least in part. Thanks again to Robert for the model. Best regards, Bill Braun From: Bill Braun <medprac@hlthsys.com> ------...
by Bill Braun
Sat Sep 20, 1997 6:57 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD and Racism
Replies: 6
Views: 4808

SD and Racism

Does anyone have any information on the use of system dynamics to model racism. Primarily I am looking for a model that seeks to explain its dynamcis; if the model also focuses on or includes intervention strategies, that is also welcome. Thank you. Bill Braun --------------------------- Medical Pra...
by Bill Braun
Thu Jul 17, 1997 8:28 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Perceived conditions, expectations and trend
Replies: 0
Views: 1254

Perceived conditions, expectations and trend

>The story you tell sounds like it has a couple of potentially interesting >feedback processes: One is a positive loop from tourists to water Delays would seem to be important considerations. First the delay between actual tourist volume and known tourist volume. Second the delay between turning the...
by Bill Braun
Wed Jul 09, 1997 8:13 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: leverage points
Replies: 29
Views: 64862

leverage points

Bill, Can you expand on the Senge thought. Seems, on the surface, to fly in the face of the influence of underlying structure and to perhaps run afoul of some archetypes. Bill Braun From: Bill Braun <medprac@hlthsys.com> --------------------------- Medical Practice Systems Inc. (216) 382-7111 (Voice...
by Bill Braun
Tue Jul 01, 1997 7:48 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD model about the development of crime in germany
Replies: 0
Views: 1306

SD model about the development of crime in germany

George Richardsons book "Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling with Dynamo" has some CLDs on the dynamics of crime. This may serve as a template for getting started. Bill Braun From: Bill Braun <medprac@hlthsys.com> --------------------------- Medical Practice Systems Inc. (216) 382-711...
by Bill Braun
Thu Jun 12, 1997 10:05 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Stocks, flows, CLDs, +/-, Ss/O...
Replies: 3
Views: 2787

Stocks, flows, CLDs, +/-, Ss/O...

This is a good, detailed description of the thought I had on the way into work this morning. Behavioral and attitudinal issues lends themselves well to CLDs, and quantitative dynamics lend themselves well to SD. I like Johns transition methodology, how he moves from CLDs to SDs. Bill Bill Braun <med...
by Bill Braun
Tue Jun 10, 1997 8:24 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Stocks, flows, CLDs, +/-, Ss/O...
Replies: 3
Views: 2787

Stocks, flows, CLDs, +/-, Ss/O...

Hi Phil, I have to chuckle at the apparent circular nature of our conversation here...it seems that every time one of us builds upon the thoughts of another we complete another circle, where we note the attractive attributes of CLD, then SD, then hybrids, etc. I asked George in a previous note if th...
by Bill Braun
Fri Jun 06, 1997 4:49 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Stocks, flows, CLDs, +/-, Ss/Os, and u-shaped arrows
Replies: 1
Views: 1933

Stocks, flows, CLDs, +/-, Ss/Os, and u-shaped arrows

Hello George, Two thoughts/questions... Cannot some of the ambiguity between 1) the cause is additive or subtractive and 2) a change in A causes a change int he same direction in B be resolved by being more explicit in the naming of the variables. If the variable carries a name that makes it clear i...
by Bill Braun
Thu Jun 05, 1997 9:12 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Differential equations
Replies: 25
Views: 39762

Differential equations

Hello Iqbal, I hope this doesnt split the hair too finely...I think of SD as the tool that leads to an understanding of the problem. Using SD to formulate the problem statement leads to identifying the leverage points. SD may not reveal the solutions themselves, but in a later phase, can be used to ...
by Bill Braun
Wed Jun 04, 1997 12:33 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Management of Technology Course
Replies: 9
Views: 5729

Management of Technology Course

Hello Iqbal, The course I teach is not an SD course per se, so modeling is not the centerpiece of course content. I use it more as a tool to introduce managers to thinking differently. Becoming a competent modeler is not an expected outcome for the students. I am currently using PowerSim to develop ...
by Bill Braun
Fri May 30, 1997 1:22 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Management of Technology Course
Replies: 9
Views: 5729

Management of Technology Course

Hi Iqbal, I teach a Systems Management and Organization Theory class (graduate 500 level class) and I start with causal loops diagrams and then move to stocks and flows diagramming. Although initially at a loss why Senge omitted the "s" and the "o" (or the "+" and the &...
by Bill Braun
Wed Mar 05, 1997 10:14 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Monthly Calendar
Replies: 3
Views: 3624

Monthly Calendar

Somewhat related to the Monthly Calendar, in terms of available resources, may be a list of links I maintain. You can find it at: http://www.hlthsys.com/pub/systems.htm Additions and comments are welcome, including vendors and, inspired by the Monthly Calendar post, a new section on periodic announc...