Search found 75 matches

by Bill Harris
Thu May 03, 2001 7:43 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Fast demonstrations of complex behaviour
Replies: 14
Views: 18617

Fast demonstrations of complex behaviour

Bob Eberlein wrote: > better. If the lesson is meant to be that the structure determines the > behavior and there is no room for improvement that is a dismal lesson > indeed. You should have seen the version Ive taught. :-) Seriously, I was asked to teach it to a group about 5 years ago, and I did i...
by Bill Harris
Mon Apr 09, 2001 2:58 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD and Markov processes
Replies: 7
Views: 23919

SD and Markov processes

There was an article published that attempted to relate Markov processes and SD, as I recall. I seem to recall it in the 1977-1987 time frame, perhaps in the IEEE Trans. Sys. Man Cybernetics or IEEE Trans. Control Theory--it was at least in one of those types of journals. Unfortunately, I dont seem ...
by Bill Harris
Fri Apr 06, 2001 4:53 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Looking for a Fast Demonstration of Complex Behavior
Replies: 5
Views: 5531

Looking for a Fast Demonstration of Complex Behavior

Niall Palfreyman wrote: > Can anyone think of a quick, punchy demo that makes this point? I like Ive seen a colleague try this one; does this help? (Im not sure it helps with your SD case, but it might.) Take a raw egg thats sitting in a container. Ask one person to pick it up with their two index (...
by Bill Harris
Thu Mar 15, 2001 7:08 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: LINUX equivalent for modelling
Replies: 3
Views: 3822

LINUX equivalent for modelling

I lost the beginnings of this thread--whether the focus is on free SD software or SD software on Linux. At any rate, Paul Fishwicks simpack includes some SD capability, although you might only like it if you find DYNAMO nice but too GUIfied and far from the metal for your tastes. As its a C framewor...
by Bill Harris
Sat Feb 17, 2001 4:58 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: When to use/avoid System Dynamics
Replies: 12
Views: 13517

When to use/avoid System Dynamics

Kim Warren wrote: > Having worked on strategy and policy for over 20 years, I increasingly feel > that there are virtually no situations where you can safely ignore the Kim, You got the essence: accumulation and feedback. The absolute time frame matters little, IMHO, so hours vs. months is at best a...
by Bill Harris
Thu Feb 15, 2001 4:03 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: When to use/avoid System Dynamics
Replies: 12
Views: 13517

When to use/avoid System Dynamics

daniel.jarosch@au.pwcglobal.com wrote: > I am currently in the process of selecting a modelling approach. does anyone > have a collection of criteria for selecting the right modelling technique? If you read German, you might take a look at _Die Praxis des ganzheitlichen Problemlösens_ by Gomez and P...
by Bill Harris
Sun Feb 11, 2001 7:32 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Models of Church Growth
Replies: 6
Views: 7077

Models of Church Growth

Doug, There was an article on that some number of years ago, describing work with a parish in the U.K., as I recall. I think it may have been in the European Journal of Operational Research about 15-20 years ago. Unfortunately, I seem to recall discarding my copy of the article in a cleanup a while ...
by Bill Harris
Mon Nov 27, 2000 10:03 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Modeling of skills
Replies: 2
Views: 6709

Modeling of skills

William, Youve made a good start in focusing on the problem, but Id be tempted to focus even more closely. What are you really worried about? Can you pick out one of the factors below and focus on that as the problem to gain more insight? If you had to focus that closely, is there another factor you...
by Bill Harris
Tue Nov 14, 2000 7:47 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Web based discussion of model development?
Replies: 2
Views: 6580

Web based discussion of model development?

I just finished a project where we were split into three or four sites across two continents, and I never left my study. There are lots of tools that can help. Ive put together a few suggestions on how to use online techniques to facilitate distributed group work in http://facilitatedsystems.com/onl...
by Bill Harris
Tue Nov 14, 2000 7:30 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Building your own models
Replies: 18
Views: 60516

Building your own models

Jim Hines wrote: > I like your comment about the desirability of building your own model. What > do you (and others) make of the many queries in this list asking for models > on this or that topic? Im bimodal. On the one hand, I agree with Geoff that building your own model has many advantages, incl...
by Bill Harris
Wed Nov 08, 2000 8:11 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Modelling HRM / Quantifying a model
Replies: 8
Views: 6049

Modelling HRM / Quantifying a model

I started to suggest that HPS has some aging chain models in some of their books which could be described as HR models and the Vensim molecules provide others, but I think Id want to hear more about the problem youre trying to solve first. Maybe you cant divulge the problem in a public forum, but I ...
by Bill Harris
Wed Nov 08, 2000 8:11 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Modelling HRM / Quantifying a model
Replies: 8
Views: 6049

Modelling HRM / Quantifying a model

X-MIMETrack: Itemize by SMTP Server on MAILSRV/IBIMSA(Release 5.0.3 (Intl)|21 March 2000) at 09.11.2000 15:04:14, Serialize by Router on MAILSRV/IBIMSA(Release 5.0.3 (Intl)|21 March 2000) at 09.11.2000 15:04:15, Serialize complete at 09.11.2000 15:04:15 X-Notes-Item: 28; type=300; name=$Hops X-Notes...
by Bill Harris
Sat Oct 07, 2000 1:02 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: System Dynamics of the Human Mind
Replies: 4
Views: 4642

System Dynamics of the Human Mind

Hmm. Human mind? Have you looked at perceptual control theory? I dont know if its been applied to cognitive ability under stress, but it might be worth a glance. Bill From: Bill Harris <bill_harris@facilitatedsystems.com> -- Bill Harris 3217 102nd Place SE Facilitated Systems Everett, WA 98208 USA h...
by Bill Harris
Wed Aug 30, 2000 7:27 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Qualitative Variables and Mapping of ideas
Replies: 7
Views: 6117

Qualitative Variables and Mapping of ideas

Geoff Coyle wrote: <quoting C. P. Snow from 1940:> > "What a wonderful invention a map is. Geography would be incomprehensible You touched a synapse. Edward Tufte in his books on communicating with graphics (especially his first, I seem to recall) uses well-drawn maps as one of his examples of ...
by Bill Harris
Tue Aug 01, 2000 8:20 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Tracking purchase prices on past transactions
Replies: 6
Views: 10180

Tracking purchase prices on past transactions

Tom Fiddaman wrote: > At the risk of sounding like a broken record, what problem are we trying to > solve with the detailed tracking? Tom, Im fond of that question, too, so I dont mind the broken record. I didnt divulge the whole problem at first and, needless to say, that causes problems. (I did di...
by Bill Harris
Mon Jul 24, 2000 12:23 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Tracking purchase prices on past transactions
Replies: 6
Views: 10180

Tracking purchase prices on past transactions

Ulli, Thanks, but thats not quite what I want, I think. Im waiting to get a copy of the book, but, while I wait, I downloaded the models and looked at chapter 12. There are several aging chains, but they all have the attribute that you appear to put stuff in the front end of the aging chain and remo...
by Bill Harris
Fri Jul 21, 2000 10:42 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Tracking purchase prices on past transactions
Replies: 6
Views: 10180

Tracking purchase prices on past transactions

Okay, I know this should be simple, but Im having a mental block. If I want to model my behavior in buying and selling stocks, for example, Ill have personal policies that make buy and sell decisions. I can model the current price of a stock as a level that rises or falls by some mechanism (exogenou...
by Bill Harris
Fri Jun 30, 2000 7:51 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: The Reality of the Beer Game
Replies: 6
Views: 7193

The Reality of the Beer Game

Great anecdotes, Jim. Here are three more notes on the "reality of Beer Games": 1: With a partner, I once led a group of manufacturing people (who should know better, right?) in the Beer Game. We used pennies as markers, and we thought we were more than generous in our estimates of the num...
by Bill Harris
Fri Jun 02, 2000 7:41 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: A different idea regarding simulation accuracy
Replies: 1
Views: 3149

A different idea regarding simulation accuracy

Long before I discovered system dynamics, I was simulating circuits with SPICE, home-brew programs, and other such tools. (Before that, I was in school, solving differential equations on a old EAI, which I guess is close to SD.) In thinking back to those SPICE experiences, I recall a few points: Acc...
by Bill Harris
Wed May 24, 2000 7:30 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Expense management paper/model
Replies: 0
Views: 1943

Expense management paper/model

Ive posted "Applying System Dynamics to Business: An Expense Management Example" on my Web site (http://facilitatedsystems.com/pubs.html). Its a companion paper to "Pipeline Inventory: The Missing Factor in Organizational Expense Management" (National Productivity Review, Summer,...
by Bill Harris
Fri Mar 24, 2000 3:30 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: The use of System Dynamics by the Federal Reserve
Replies: 0
Views: 1558

The use of System Dynamics by the Federal Reserve

Im curious. Alan Greenspans work would seem to be the ultimate stocks n flows game in the USA. Does anyone know if there is any explicit system dynamics thinking underlying his work? Bill From: Bill Harris <bill_harris@facilitatedsystems.com> -- Bill Harris 3217 102nd Place SE Facilitated Systems Ev...
by Bill Harris
Fri Mar 03, 2000 9:47 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Agricultural value chains
Replies: 1
Views: 1958

Agricultural value chains

Martin, Studying other models is important for us, for the same reason reading other novels is important for an author and hearing concerts is important for a musician. However, in solving a problem, Id encourage you to focus your early efforts on your own small, custom models. You could, based on y...
by Bill Harris
Sun Feb 13, 2000 5:27 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD: Simply another tool for public policy development?
Replies: 14
Views: 8748

SD: Simply another tool for public policy development?

Bruce Campbell wrote: > All of the above leads to a situation where decisions, using accepted > modelling methods, are made to benefit the short term aspirations of the > powerful. Symbols and language are then created to "sell" these > decisions to the powerless (Pfeffer, Chptr 6). > > Li...
by Bill Harris
Sat Jan 22, 2000 10:36 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Organization design using SD
Replies: 3
Views: 3856

Organization design using SD

rahmanra@ind.sharif.ac.ir wrote: > Involved in the process of designing a research organization, we want to base > the process initially on SD to investigate and design growth and learning > feedbacks for the system, before planning the physical organization. > I am looking for resources discussing ...
by Bill Harris
Sat Jan 22, 2000 10:18 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: application to cultural change
Replies: 5
Views: 4248

application to cultural change

Jennifer Espey wrote: > > I was wondering if anyone knew of an application(s) of system dynamics to cultural change. Jennifer, Here are a couple of quick possible references. Peter Stackelberg did some work on organizational and individual resistance to change about 5 years ago. The only email addre...