Search found 63 matches

by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sat Aug 19, 2000 5:36 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Quantifying soft data
Replies: 16
Views: 15270

Quantifying soft data

We have seen a diversity of views on how to use and even whether or not to use "soft" variables in system dynamics models. Guenther Ossimitz wrote," SD works best were actual stocks and flows are involved, as in production lines, delivery chains, stocks of workforce, capital or whatev...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Wed Jun 07, 2000 5:16 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Environmental Modelling Information Needed
Replies: 1
Views: 2439

Environmental Modelling Information Needed

Perhaps the information below will be useful. =============================================== =============================================== Information on System Dynamics Jay W. Forrester August 25, 1999 System Dynamics Bibliography: To order the system dynamics bibliography of over 4100 entries, ...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sun Mar 19, 2000 9:51 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Too little attention to generic models
Replies: 0
Views: 1644

Too little attention to generic models

Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" In (SD2655), John Eggers wrote: >Is it conceivable to consider the creation of a >generic "model structure template" that would incorporate a "sound >problem description"...? Perhaps the template could/would >be generic enoug...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sun Mar 19, 2000 9:01 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Confidence in models: science, art, and professionalism
Replies: 0
Views: 1652

Confidence in models: science, art, and professionalism

Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Bruce Campbell wrote in (SD2652): >If you work through the Road Maps series published by MIT there are a >number of models that deal specifically with rabbit populations ...- S >shaped growth, and >overshoot and collapse. All models appear, >on ...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sat Feb 19, 2000 6:03 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Causal loop and Stock and Flow Diagramming
Replies: 8
Views: 7676

Causal loop and Stock and Flow Diagramming

I have seen students waste much time trying to define a system in causal-loop diagrams. In my own work, I have never used causal loops to start a project. Instead, I decide what system levels (integrations) are involved in the behavior of interest. Then establish the flows to and from those levels, ...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Fri Feb 11, 2000 9:13 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD: Simply another tool for public policy development?
Replies: 14
Views: 8748

SD: Simply another tool for public policy development?

The following selections from Bruce Campbell (SD2600) raise an issue that surrounds several of the contributions to this discussion thread. >Firstly, it is implicit in Erics post that if we come up with a better >modelling method we should then be able to make better decisions. ..... >models that ca...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sun Jan 02, 2000 1:28 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Resource allocation models
Replies: 28
Views: 40898

Resource Allocation Models

>But I am disturbed by the theme that one should model what people do and >how they make decisions. I thought the purpose of modeling was to discern >the key demands and resources so that the allocation process itself is >improved (including manager behaviors). >>Jack Ring, 32712 N. 70th St., Snotts...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Thu Oct 28, 1999 8:22 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Urban Dynamics Question
Replies: 7
Views: 9740

Urban Dynamics Question

>Don Seville and Drew Jones ask an intriguing question: >> When urban areas fill their land area, why do some tip towards decay and >> others towards gentrified "wealthy enclaves"? > Jack Homer wrote: >As a grad student many years ago, I spent some time thinking about and >modeling the iss...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Mon Aug 02, 1999 6:16 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Instantaneous reactions??
Replies: 0
Views: 2140

Instantaneous reactions??

Jum Hines wrote in SD2299: >Just a little point on instantaneous feedback. I think there is a (single?) >class of examples in which simultaneity exists in the real world. If you >push down on a table, doesnt the table instantaneously push up against you? > No. The table does not push back until it h...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Mon Jul 05, 1999 4:41 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Guided Study Program in System Dynamics
Replies: 3
Views: 8279

Guided Study Program in System Dynamics

This is the second (and last) announcement of the 1999-2000 Program. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- The System Dynamics in Education Project at MIT is now accepting applications for the 1999-2000 Guided Study Program in System Dynamics. The Guided Study ...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Tue Jun 08, 1999 12:21 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: 1999-2000 Guided Study Program in System Dynamics
Replies: 0
Views: 2022

1999-2000 Guided Study Program in System Dynamics

The System Dynamics in Education Project at MIT is now accepting applications for the 1999-2000 Guided Study Program in System Dynamics. The Guided Study Program (GSP) is conducted by the System Dynamics in Education Project (SDEP) in the System Dynamics Group of the Sloan School at the Massachusett...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Mon May 03, 1999 7:19 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: System Dynamics Societys Priorities
Replies: 21
Views: 13092

System Dynamics Societys Priorities

There have been many interesting and promising suggestions for the future of the System Dynamics society since the April 27 posting by Jack Pugh. On the other hand, some of the suggestions seem undesirable or beyond the means of the Society. 1. Jack suggested "promoting all forms of systems thi...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sun May 02, 1999 6:40 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: System Dynamics Societys Priorities
Replies: 21
Views: 13092

System Dynamics Societys Priorities

The program described below, which will begin its third year next fall, has been quite successful and is a first step in distance learning in system dynamics. >Two thoughts: first, I agree wholeheartedly that certifying programs >might be possible, while certifying individuals would be near >impossi...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sun Mar 21, 1999 1:04 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Correction to SUMMARY System Thinking Resources
Replies: 0
Views: 2016

Correction to SUMMARY System Thinking Resources

The following are an addition and a correction to the useful resources from Jonathan Mozenter (SD2086) In addition to the system dynamics learning resources, the System Dynamics in Education Project at MIT conducts a Guided Study in System Dynamics by email: gsp@sysdyn.mit.edu The books below are no...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sat Mar 20, 1999 11:27 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Models about river basin
Replies: 3
Views: 3394

Models about river basin

Jorge Orellana Araoz inquired: > I am interested in SD models about river basin, or references to such > models or papers/articles etc. > The following is probably out of print but may be in libraries: <fontfamily><param>Geneva</param><smaller>Hamilton, H. R., S. E. Goldstone, J. W. Milliman, A. L. ...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Tue Mar 16, 1999 9:17 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Discrete Event Simulation v. System Dynamics
Replies: 13
Views: 10629

Discrete Event Simulation v. System Dynamics

Perhaps you will find something of use below. Information on System Dynamics Jay W. Forrester January 28I, 1999 System Dynamics Bibliography: To order the system dynamics bibliography of over 4100 entries, specify IBM type PC, or Macintosh Send $35 in US$ drawn on a US bank to: System Dynamics Socie...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Tue Dec 22, 1998 11:21 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: strategic decisions and SD
Replies: 1
Views: 10325

strategic decisions and SD

Information on System Dynamics Jay W. Forrester November 9, 1998 <bold><bigger>Note: The publisher for the books listed below has changed from Productivity Press to Pegasus Communications</bigger></bold> To order the system dynamics bibliography of over 4100 entries,=20 specify IBM type PC, or Macin...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sat Nov 14, 1998 11:07 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Change in publisher
Replies: 0
Views: 6186

Change in publisher

Thank you, Tom. The source of system dynamics books has now changed. They have been shifted from Productivity Press to: Pegasus Communications, Inc. One Moody Street Waltham, MA 02453-5339 tel: 781-398-9700 fax: 781-894-7026 Tom Fiddaman wrote in (SD1890): >A classic work here is Forresters _Industr...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Mon Nov 09, 1998 5:25 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: thesis topic
Replies: 3
Views: 3460

thesis topic

Perhaps the information below will be useful to you. Information on System Dynamics Jay W. Forrester November 9, 1998 Note: The publisher for the books listed below has changed from Productivity Press to Pegasus Communications To order the system dynamics bibliography of over 4100 entries, specify I...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sun Nov 01, 1998 8:38 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Forecasts vs. policy design
Replies: 0
Views: 4027

Forecasts vs. policy design

There have been several interesting comments on the relationship of forecasts to system dynamics models. The subtlety and richness of the forecast question could justify a book. However, let me comment in two separate email messages. First is the relation of forecasting to policy design. Consider tw...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sun Nov 01, 1998 8:37 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: On the window of opportunity for forecasting
Replies: 1
Views: 2535

On the window of opportunity for forecasting

--============_-1302151624==_============ Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" The use of forecasting for guiding decisions is restrained by considerations in the attached figure. Assume we know the past path of a variable up to the present decision time. The immediate future is de...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sat Sep 19, 1998 11:56 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Work on Water Resources
Replies: 4
Views: 13683

Work on Water Resources

In the discussion of material on water resources, I do not recall anyone mentioning what is probably the first system dynamics book on the subject: Hamilton, H. R., S. E. Goldstone, J. W. Milliman, A. L. Pugh III, E. B. Roberts, and A. Zellner, 1969. System Simulation for Regional Analysis: An Appli...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Tue Apr 28, 1998 3:16 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Guided Study Program in System Dynamics
Replies: 3
Views: 8279

Guided Study Program in System Dynamics

The MIT Guided Study Program in System Dynamics is receiving applications from participants for its second year. The Program will begin in early September 1998 and run until June 1999. Participants must possess a computer and have access to the Internet, and be willing to devote at least fifteen hou...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Sun Apr 26, 1998 6:27 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD models of prison growth?
Replies: 3
Views: 3677

SD models of prison growth?

>From: John Trimble <trimble@scs.howard.edu> >Given the exponential growth in the prison population in this country, >fueled by anti-drug laws and prison without parole laws, Im interested >in studying this situation/problem using system dynamics. Does anyone >know of related work in the U.S., Europ...
by "Jay W. Forrester"
Mon Apr 20, 1998 9:32 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Some questions Re:accreditation
Replies: 9
Views: 23362

Some questions Re:accreditation

>> The reference is "Principles on the Relationship Between Structure and >> Behavior of Dynamic Systems", by Alan Karl Graham, approved August, 1977. > >As a relative beginner in SD this sounds really interesting. Can anyone >tell me (and interested others) how to get hold of a copy. That...