continuous delay

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Nesli
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Posts: 21
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2011 11:33 am

continuous delay

Post by Nesli »

Hi,

Could anyone please explain how DELAY1 is different than DELAY3 logically?..or how can I justify that I use DELAY3 but not DELAY1 in my model?..

I know that DELAY 3 takes it as if there are 3 stocks...I wonder how we decide delay3 is more suitable for our model?
Is it because of time step should be smaller than 1/4 of the shortest time in the model?

Thanks in advance..

Nesli
tomfid
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Joined: Wed May 24, 2006 4:54 am

Re: continuous delay

Post by tomfid »

The key difference is in the distribution of arrivals that the two versions imply, so this is really a question to be answered by comparison with data.

You might play with my delay sandbox to get some intuition.
http://models.metasd.com/delay-sandbox/
Nesli
Member
Posts: 21
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2011 11:33 am

Re: continuous delay

Post by Nesli »

Hello after a long time,

Is there any example on how to use DELAY information functions as a link/file or etc.

I find it confusing to decide which delay function (order of it) to use in my model...

Thanks
tomfid
Administrator
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Joined: Wed May 24, 2006 4:54 am

Re: continuous delay

Post by tomfid »

There's a sample model linked to every function in the Help system (for example, http://www.vensim.com/documentation/fn_delay3.htm).

Also, http://models.metasd.com/delay-sandbox/.

Other than that, I'd take a look at a good text, like Business Dynamics.
tomfid
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Re: continuous delay

Post by tomfid »

Nesli
Member
Posts: 21
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2011 11:33 am

Re: continuous delay

Post by Nesli »

Many thanks..
gwr
Senior Member
Posts: 209
Joined: Sun Oct 04, 2009 8:40 pm
Vensim version: DSS

Re: continuous delay

Post by gwr »

Hi,

there is a nice article by Margret S. Hamilton in Randers' "Elements of the System Dynamics Method" (1980) about how to estimate Delays. Since exponential delays can be linked to the Erlang-Distribution (via convolution) one can build upon this.

I have build a small Mathematica-based tool to do this which can be found with some remarks in the SD forum: Higher Order Delays.

Regards,
Guido
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