looking for crime / police applications

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"Jaideep Mukherjee"
Junior Member
Posts: 15
Joined: Fri Mar 29, 2002 3:39 am

looking for crime / police applications

Post by "Jaideep Mukherjee" »

Dear Ivo:

A couple of points:

1. If you check the mailing list search engine on my website at
www.optimlator.com you will find many previous postings on your query (one
of them talks of an SD model application in Germany), for example,

with "crime" you get 24 results
with "police" you get 9 results
with "game" you get 142 results
with "crime +game" you get 4 results

Check them out and complement the replies you get here with the past
knowledge on this subject.

2. There are links to game theory and SD sites available on my site too that
may help (& of course Toms list and Dr. Ossimitzs MegaList have many other
links).

3. I have talked of this before on this list, but you may not be aware of
it. My PhD work involved SD and game theory, though not with crime or police
issues. The methods used there may help with your questions. Three papers
based on this work are available on my site - I have also made available
(freely downloadable) the Maple and HiQ code that can be
reused/modified/extended to apply to SD models of any size for dynamic game
applications. Change the parameters, substitute your own SD-derived ordinary
differential equations, pick the fastest computer you can find (Mac/PC), get
the software (I had used iThink/Maple/HiQ combo; Mathematica and MathCAD may
be substituted for Maple and HiQ respectively, or any such symbolic math and
boundary-value solvers). I am being very terse here because many of these
details are in my previous postings on this list and much more is available
on my website.

PhD reference: Environment and Development: A Study of North-South Conflict,
1996, is
obtainable from UMI Dissertation Services, 300 N Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, MI
48106, USA - phones 800 521 0600 in USA or 313 761 4700 from outside USA.

4. Successful dynamic game applications, as noted above, have the potential
to change the color of your hair. A much simpler SD and game theory
application may involve using static games, using matrix algebra (such as
used in Prisoners Dilemma, Chicken game etc.). Since in SD models we do not
deal with a snapshot of a system, but with a finite time horizon, you may
have to define suitable metrics that will allow you to use static game
analyses - for example, you may define metrics such as "net present prison
costs" "total # of prison years" "net police force expenditures", the "index
of recidivism" etc., that capture player payoffs or costs in your system to
compare different solutions. I dont have any knowledge of your system, so
these metrics are all speculations on my part.

By changing parameters and doing different SD simulations, you can get
different sets of these static game matrices to do interesting strategic
analyses. My PhD work talks of these static type of game theory-SD
applications too. For clarifications, please contact off the list and I will
try to help.

I will be putting the promised SD survey on the site on Monday - everyone
please take part if you can.

Thanks and regards

Jaideep

Jaideep Mukherjee, PhD
From: "Jaideep Mukherjee" <jaideep@optimlator.com>
713 523 2713
www.optimlator.com
Ivo_Sarges@monitor.com
Junior Member
Posts: 2
Joined: Fri Mar 29, 2002 3:39 am

looking for crime / police applications

Post by Ivo_Sarges@monitor.com »

I am trying to locate sd applications exploring problems regarding crime /
police issues.
In particular Id be interested in applications which combine SD
methodology with a game theoretical approach.

Thanx for your help --

Ivo Sarges.

email isarges@monitor.com
fon +27-11-712.7500
fax +27-11-712.7600
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