Characterizing System Dynamics
Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2005 12:58 pm
Posted by =?iso-8859-1?Q?Jean-Jacques_Laubl=E9?= <jean-jacques.lauble@wanadoo.fr> Hi Invig (or should I say Invigorator instead of Invigilator)
300 years ago, when the first results of calculus where known after Pascal, Leibniz, Newton, Euler and some others, the scientific community must certainly have been full of expectation about the power of this new universal paradigm. The concrete results did not come so quickly and now after 300 years there are new discoveries in the field every year. Calculus though widely used is not yet used by the majority of people, and many very successful business people do not even know its existence (I know plenty of them). It is still not the solution to all problems either, and is now mainly used in technical problems, which is in the present time important enough.
Assimilating SD to a sort of calculus applied to about any problem, one can consider too that it is a new promising technique, as it is too very intellectually elegant and looks very powerful.
Suppose that one follows the path that you propose, the first thing people will ask is: show us what is has already resolved in the past.
The second thing they will ask is considering the huge amount problems our world tries to solve: what sort of problems does it solve and what are the conditions to use it (mainly time, expertise and general cost)?
So before trying to make SD more known, to my opinion the SD community should make an effort to list the good and bad experiences ingrained from the use of the method to determine the optimal conditions for a satisfactory use of the method. It must not be easy, while useful experiences may be hidden, because of the competition and unsatisfactory experiences can be hidden too, because of fear of publicity. The good experiences will be used as publicity and both good and bad will be used to define the sort of problems it can solve.
When I am looking for customers, I focus on those that I have the more chance to satisfy because it drives me away from the competition. So should do the SD community as long as the conditions of success have been well established. Instead of taking the risk to deceive and that can be very counterproductive, it is better to find the place where to use the tool, and to use it afterwards as a publicity. Unless one is Microsoft or works in a monopolistic situation, the best way to success is to have a sufficient number of customers that are satisfied.
Pretending that the tool is the general unifying method is pretentious and is to my opinion wrong at least in the actual knowledge of the field. All of us, would like the field be more recognized but hope is not sufficient to make things happen. Regards. J.J. Lauble Allocar Strasbourg France Posted by =?iso-8859-1?Q?Jean-Jacques_Laubl=E9?= <jean-jacques.lauble@wanadoo.fr> posting date Fri, 2 Dec 2005 16:21:23 +0100
300 years ago, when the first results of calculus where known after Pascal, Leibniz, Newton, Euler and some others, the scientific community must certainly have been full of expectation about the power of this new universal paradigm. The concrete results did not come so quickly and now after 300 years there are new discoveries in the field every year. Calculus though widely used is not yet used by the majority of people, and many very successful business people do not even know its existence (I know plenty of them). It is still not the solution to all problems either, and is now mainly used in technical problems, which is in the present time important enough.
Assimilating SD to a sort of calculus applied to about any problem, one can consider too that it is a new promising technique, as it is too very intellectually elegant and looks very powerful.
Suppose that one follows the path that you propose, the first thing people will ask is: show us what is has already resolved in the past.
The second thing they will ask is considering the huge amount problems our world tries to solve: what sort of problems does it solve and what are the conditions to use it (mainly time, expertise and general cost)?
So before trying to make SD more known, to my opinion the SD community should make an effort to list the good and bad experiences ingrained from the use of the method to determine the optimal conditions for a satisfactory use of the method. It must not be easy, while useful experiences may be hidden, because of the competition and unsatisfactory experiences can be hidden too, because of fear of publicity. The good experiences will be used as publicity and both good and bad will be used to define the sort of problems it can solve.
When I am looking for customers, I focus on those that I have the more chance to satisfy because it drives me away from the competition. So should do the SD community as long as the conditions of success have been well established. Instead of taking the risk to deceive and that can be very counterproductive, it is better to find the place where to use the tool, and to use it afterwards as a publicity. Unless one is Microsoft or works in a monopolistic situation, the best way to success is to have a sufficient number of customers that are satisfied.
Pretending that the tool is the general unifying method is pretentious and is to my opinion wrong at least in the actual knowledge of the field. All of us, would like the field be more recognized but hope is not sufficient to make things happen. Regards. J.J. Lauble Allocar Strasbourg France Posted by =?iso-8859-1?Q?Jean-Jacques_Laubl=E9?= <jean-jacques.lauble@wanadoo.fr> posting date Fri, 2 Dec 2005 16:21:23 +0100