System Dynamics models of earthquakes

["George Stuart"]

I have been developing a catastrophe response model for the New Zealand
agency responsible for responding to the damage to residential properties
damaged by earthquakes. It is focussed on insurance claims and relates to
recovery given availability of certain resources, rather than to expected
damage along a particular fault.

The key issue is that it is relatively easy to test the Catastrophe Response
Plan for small earthquakes, because we get enough of them, but difficult for
the "big one". Will the plan really work when the "big one" comes? How
long will it take to get people back into their homes? What will the
impact be of varying resource availabilities, and what will the costs be in
terms of insurance payouts and operating costs.

Feel free to Email me direct if you are interested and would like more
information.

Regards from the "Shaky Isles"

George
...........................................

Dr George F Stuart
Director
Future Impact Ltd
Wellington
New Zealand
Email: George@futureimpact.co.nz

[antonio barron]

Dear SD friend, Yaman:
I read your request, and the first, I want to tell you We are sad with your
tragedy.
Spanish people are contributed -as other countrys- to help you .

About forecasting earthquake, look & click to the NATURE DEBATE
http://helix.nature.com/debates/earthqu ... meset.html

where you can find discussion & wise researcher people on this matter .

Best regards

antonio barron
From: antonio barron <antonio.barron@telefonica.es>

Madrid - Spain

[Yaman Barlas]

Dear Friends;

I had to unsubscribe from the list a short while ago and I just subscribed back.
Most of you are probably aware of the devastating earthquake (7.4
magnitude) in Northwest Turkey (Marmara region, around Istanbul) on August 17.
The situation is pretty bad - 15,000 to 25,000 dead and about as many
wounded and a very badly hurt economy...
I am among those fortunate enough not have any close relative/friend lost
in the disaster.

Are you aware of any system dynamics project/models about earth quake
dynamics (cycles) along a given fault? Even a rough and stochastic
estimation of such cycles could be of tremendous value.

best regards to all

Yaman Barlas
From: Yaman Barlas <ybarlas@boun.edu.tr>

NOTE: If you want to help the earthquake victims or learn more about the
quake please visit: http://intra.bilten.metu.edu.tr/earthquake