System Dynamics for Agriculture and Business
Posted: Sun Apr 14, 2002 10:08 pm
dear list members,
we are aiming to use system dynamics modelling in the following situations:
1. the use of system dynamics in the short term and long term forecasting of agricultural
produce with special reference to field crops and perennial fruits such as grapes, oranges
(citrus), pomme and stone fruits which have significant processing sectors of different
proportions of total output (eg wine industry, orange juice and preserving). both demand and
supply side perspectives are being considered.
2. an integrated dynamic model of the long term relationship between the financial
statements of balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statement balanced against
scenarios of the stock markets need to seek a stable/growing share price combined with a
satisfactory dividend and related return on shareholder funds policy. hence the application of
sd would go beyond the smaller enterprise.
3. other areas of interest for system dynamics application include the development and
evaluation of short term and long term strategic plans, budget analysis and assessment,
business audits and benchmarking.
any assistance and comments appreciated. identification of any specific references and/or
other sources of information on methodology, data etc would be appreciated. item 1 is
probably the most pressing and challenging area of our investigation at present.
regards
michael barrett and marc rautenbach
fivebeesplus@iprimus.com.au
we are aiming to use system dynamics modelling in the following situations:
1. the use of system dynamics in the short term and long term forecasting of agricultural
produce with special reference to field crops and perennial fruits such as grapes, oranges
(citrus), pomme and stone fruits which have significant processing sectors of different
proportions of total output (eg wine industry, orange juice and preserving). both demand and
supply side perspectives are being considered.
2. an integrated dynamic model of the long term relationship between the financial
statements of balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statement balanced against
scenarios of the stock markets need to seek a stable/growing share price combined with a
satisfactory dividend and related return on shareholder funds policy. hence the application of
sd would go beyond the smaller enterprise.
3. other areas of interest for system dynamics application include the development and
evaluation of short term and long term strategic plans, budget analysis and assessment,
business audits and benchmarking.
any assistance and comments appreciated. identification of any specific references and/or
other sources of information on methodology, data etc would be appreciated. item 1 is
probably the most pressing and challenging area of our investigation at present.
regards
michael barrett and marc rautenbach
fivebeesplus@iprimus.com.au