Hi everyone,
This might be a very silly question and I apologize if it is.
In my model I use GDP (and the resulting GDP/capita) as a exogenous variable to estimate the dynamics of other variables. I now use a simple structure where the GDP is a stock, and there is a flow rate (GDP growth) coming in. The flow rate is determined by a fixed growth rate variable and multiplied by the GDP. The stock formula is then INTEG (GDP growth).
Is this an okay way to model the GDP or is there a better way? I'm unsure as this results in exponential growth and this is perhaps only true to a certain extent.
Thank you!
modelling GDP
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- Junior Member
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Re: modelling GDP
Just one remark: your GDP is not exogenous being modeled, but endogenous. For the rest, your model assumes an increase in GDP proportional to the GDP itself, which automatically generates exponential growth.
JJ
JJ