modelling GDP

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sya_ouniversity
Junior Member
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Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2024 12:07 pm
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modelling GDP

Post by sya_ouniversity »

Hi everyone,
This might be a very silly question and I apologize if it is.
In my model I use GDP (and the resulting GDP/capita) as a exogenous variable to estimate the dynamics of other variables. I now use a simple structure where the GDP is a stock, and there is a flow rate (GDP growth) coming in. The flow rate is determined by a fixed growth rate variable and multiplied by the GDP. The stock formula is then INTEG (GDP growth).

Is this an okay way to model the GDP or is there a better way? I'm unsure as this results in exponential growth and this is perhaps only true to a certain extent.

Thank you!
LAUJJL
Senior Member
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Joined: Fri May 23, 2003 10:09 am
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Re: modelling GDP

Post by LAUJJL »

Just one remark: your GDP is not exogenous being modeled, but endogenous. For the rest, your model assumes an increase in GDP proportional to the GDP itself, which automatically generates exponential growth.

JJ
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