Search found 11 matches

by Keith Linard
Tue Apr 18, 2000 12:50 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: system dynamics and aged care
Replies: 2
Views: 3006

system dynamics and aged care

I have a graduate project undertaken for the Australian Finance Ministry to analyse cost implications of policies relating to aged care accomodation: Home & Community Care (aiding the frail aged to continue in their own homes); Aged Persons Hostels; Nursing Homes & Hospital Acute Care. Model...
by Keith Linard
Sat Apr 15, 2000 12:59 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD: Simply another tool for public policy development?
Replies: 14
Views: 8657

SD: Simply another tool for public policy development?

Re: Jay Forresters distinction between designing policies and decision making. >But system dynamics models are best and properly used for designing >policies, not decisions. Much of the confustion in working with managers >lies in their not distinguishing between policies and decisions. Policies, >a...
by Keith Linard
Sat Apr 15, 2000 11:21 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: SD: Simply another tool for public policy development?
Replies: 14
Views: 8657

SD: Simply another tool for public policy development?

Re: SD as an alternative to traditional Benefit Cost Analysis in evaluation of regulatory policy proposals. 1. Benefit cost analysis is a powerful paradigm, even if only in that it forces policy makers to move beyond pork barrelling or wishful thinking. However BCA (or CBA depending on where you com...
by Keith Linard
Sun Apr 09, 2000 2:22 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: census data
Replies: 6
Views: 4891

census data

Let me summarise my interpretation of Geoff Coyles concerns on cenus data. 1. Any census data, whether a sample or an attempted 100% coverage, involves inaccuracy. 2. A census of any entity which changes over time gets progressively innacurate. 3. Therefore using numerical census data is often point...
by Keith Linard
Fri Apr 07, 2000 11:24 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Demographic Profiles and Health Care
Replies: 11
Views: 15921

Demographic Profiles and Health Care

I agree with Geoff Coyles point (which cannot be emphasised too often) that the question being addressed (or at least the underlying issues ... which may indeed be quite different) should drive the modelling approach. My suggestions re using a full age spectrum census model rather than the "you...
by Keith Linard
Sat Apr 01, 2000 11:59 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Demographic Profiles and Health Care
Replies: 11
Views: 15921

Demographic Profiles and Health Care

Because population age-gender subsets are such fundamental inputs to govt policy options at all levels of government, it is worth the effort to build a reusable census module. In Powersim this is simple: a 2x100 array which: is initialised from a spreadsheet or database of census info for the nation...
by Keith Linard
Wed Apr 28, 1999 11:28 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: System Dynamics Societys Priorities
Replies: 21
Views: 12943

System Dynamics Societys Priorities

Jack Pughs proposal is very important. Could I suggest two areas of work which complement his list: the elaboration of the core body of knowledge (taking as an example the Project Management Institutes PMBoK) and the elaboration of core competencies (at the individual and team level) desirable for p...
by Keith Linard
Sat Apr 24, 1999 8:59 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Modelling of Skill/Competencies
Replies: 2
Views: 2925

Modelling of Skill/Competencies

University of New South Wales (Australian Defence Force Academy) in association with CSC(Aust) is initiating a 2 year research program focussing on the core competencies required to build knowledge organisation / learning organisation and the structures / procedures etc required to foster and mainta...
by Keith Linard
Fri Apr 16, 1999 5:00 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Modeling Fatigue
Replies: 4
Views: 13390

Modeling Fatigue

1. My experience in construction project management (many years back) working day labour gangs 10 hrs per day x 6 days per week indicated virtually no drop in overtime or increase in rework in the first 2 weeks. Thereafter there was a steady increase in absenteeism (on Monday), a decrease in product...
by Keith Linard
Wed Apr 14, 1999 10:45 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Air Traffic Control Modelling
Replies: 1
Views: 2530

Air Traffic Control Modelling

The Australian air safety system and air traffic control has been the subject of continuing controversy and periodic government reviews over the past decade. I am considering tasking a group of post graduate students to examine some specific aspects of the system. I am interested in accessing previo...
by Keith Linard
Sat Apr 25, 1998 1:35 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: ArcView 3.1
Replies: 3
Views: 4639

ArcView 3.1

I have post grad students building a school district planning model which integrates Powersim with MapInfo via a spreadsheet interface. Integration at the API level using C++ or Visual Basic would be more elegant and less subject to the eccentricities of Microsofts DDE linkages. I believe Stella / I...