Search found 16 matches

by Phil Odence
Thu Jul 30, 1998 1:38 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Systems from the top?
Replies: 26
Views: 70621

Systems from the top?

In reactions to some of the discussion about disseminating specific insights and SD consciousness skills... First, thanks to Van for stimulating the discussion. Jay Forests point about getting the client involved is a very important, necessary, pretty-well-understood, and still-oft-ignored one. Howe...
by Phil Odence
Fri Jul 24, 1998 1:58 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Computer-aided means of exploring complex causality
Replies: 4
Views: 6494

Computer-aided means of exploring complex causality

In reponse to Linda Booths query about educational software >Are there any I am missing? Should IThink and Vensim be included? To address a VFAQ (V is for Very): The STELLA and ithink software are identical (save for a few default settings). The extremely important difference is in the documentation...
by Phil Odence
Wed Jun 03, 1998 5:13 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Models for Concept Design Phase of Product Development
Replies: 1
Views: 3413

Models for Concept Design Phase of Product Development

Shi Ling, Sorry for the slow response. You may want to check out a model called SYSDEV that I developed. It looks at the development of a hardware/software systems, and gets into issues of planning vs. charging forward. Its not exactly what you are looking for, but may provide some inspiration. The ...
by Phil Odence
Wed Dec 10, 1997 7:58 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: System Dynamics in Health Care
Replies: 6
Views: 5327

System Dynamics in Health Care

In response to Andy Ms inquiry about model patient flow through an ER. We include a model that addresses the kinds of issues that your are interested in with the ithink software. Its written up as a case study in the Applications Guide. Also, the model included with the ithink demo, which you can ei...
by Phil Odence
Wed Nov 26, 1997 8:57 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: negative response to use of computers
Replies: 3
Views: 4899

negative response to use of computers

Specifically with respect to using computers for simulation, I think the crux of argument (for those feeling averse) is Professor Forresters. To paraphrase: You WILL simulate, the choice is whether to do it with a computer or mentally. To the extent stakeholders feel disconnected from the model bein...
by Phil Odence
Wed Nov 26, 1997 8:14 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Multilevel Marketing Models
Replies: 3
Views: 3730

Multilevel Marketing Models

My friend, Usman Ghani, of McKinsey tells the bacteria story in the context of a Lotus pond with the Lotuses doubling the surface area they cover each day. He actually runs the simulation for 29 days (or whatever), then has people sketch in their projection of the future (using ithinks sketchable gr...
by Phil Odence
Wed Aug 06, 1997 10:24 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Films on SD Wanted
Replies: 1
Views: 2419

Films on SD Wanted

In respose to John JS Saunders inquiry: You are probably aware of "Mindwalk." A relevant and interesting film, but not exactly what you are looking for. You should also consider HPSs "Systems Thinking: Taking the Next Step," an interactive CD that lets users experience the applic...
by Phil Odence
Tue Jun 10, 1997 7:03 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Management of Technology Course
Replies: 9
Views: 7861

Management of Technology Course

>So I guess its a case of horses for courses - if the aim is to produce a >modeller, start them the right way with stocks and flows; if you want to >get an executive to be comfortable switching between Newtonian >andsystemic thinking,CLD type sketches may be more accessible. ...they may be, but Ive ...
by Phil Odence
Mon Jun 09, 1997 7:26 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Stocks, flows, CLDs, +/-, Ss/Os, and u-shaped arrows
Replies: 1
Views: 2963

Stocks, flows, CLDs, +/-, Ss/Os, and u-shaped arrows

>If the >variable carries a name that makes it clear it is a flow, would not the CLD >be more representative of what the modeler wants to say? I agree with the spirit, Bill, but I think the answer is to use a symbol to indicate whether the variable is a stock of flow, and to show the direction of fl...
by Phil Odence
Sat Jun 07, 1997 6:46 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Stocks, flows, CLDs, and +/-, Ss/Os, and u-shaped arrows ,
Replies: 1
Views: 2874

Stocks, flows, CLDs, and +/-, Ss/Os, and u-shaped arrows ,

>The little u-shaped arrows have the same problem in causal-loop >diagrams that Ss and Os have I quite agree with George, but I dont think the "-" is the answer. The inherent limitation of CLDs George described (i.e. no Stock/Flow distinction) is exactly why we dont use em too much. ******...
by Phil Odence
Mon Jun 02, 1997 2:05 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Management of Technology Course
Replies: 9
Views: 7861

Management of Technology Course

Regarding Causal Loop Diagrams... We do not tend to use CLDs for model conceptualization, rather we advocate that even novices go right to stocks and flows. (The wherefores are longer discussion.) However, we do use CLDs as an after-the-fact summary of feedbacks in a model, and for those we use a si...
by Phil Odence
Sat May 24, 1997 6:41 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Modelling of tax system
Replies: 3
Views: 5890

Modelling of tax system

Regarding Georges response on depreciation: I could imagine modeling a drain from a stock of useful information which would represent information becoming obsolete. Youd probably model it as exponential decay. Maybe there are some financial/accounting circumstances in which you might depreciate the ...
by Phil Odence
Fri May 16, 1997 4:47 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Influential Futurists
Replies: 0
Views: 2116

Influential Futurists

I was reading the May-June 97 "Utne Reader." It referenced the new "Encyclopedia of the Future" (Macmillan) which has a list of the 10 most influential futurists of all time. Here they are: 1. R. Buckminster Fuller, engineer 2. Herman Kahn, founder of the Hudson Insitute 3. H.G. ...
by Phil Odence
Mon Apr 07, 1997 9:54 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Recent queries on graduate projects
Replies: 10
Views: 10001

Recent queries on graduate projects

I agree with much of the discussion following Georges point: Learn SD first, write dissertation second. I am concerned, however, about scaring business people off, because I am firmly convinced that even people new to SD can derive great value from SD modeling. Wendell Gunn asked, "Whats the ca...
by Phil Odence
Mon Mar 31, 1997 8:23 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: Application of Computer Simulation/Modelling
Replies: 3
Views: 4518

Application of Computer Simulation/Modelling

Elsa, This may be of help: If youve not seen the user guides that come with ithink, doing so would be a good starting point. They are loaded with examples of uses of simulation in companies. The Business Applications Guide is organized around a number of case studies. You can read about the applicat...
by Phil Odence
Wed Dec 04, 1996 8:16 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: In defense of "bells & whistles"
Replies: 2
Views: 3611

In defense of "bells & whistles"

>From Phil Odence, HPS: I will be the last person to argue for form over substance, and the first to admit that one can easily go overboard with "bells & whistles." However, from having been involved in building a number of Learning Environments and observing people interacting with th...