Search found 12 matches

by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Wed May 07, 2008 7:09 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Models, Problems and Systems
Replies: 29
Views: 97301

QUERY Models, Problems and Systems

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> PROBLEM However novice modelers carry out SD projects, they will rarely get simple models. This is a big problem when they should build a simple model. The problem has been discussed in the recent issues of SDR, but its root cause has not yet been cl...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Fri May 02, 2008 7:45 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: ANNOUNCE Tsunami Wave Prediction Paper
Replies: 0
Views: 3117

ANNOUNCE Tsunami Wave Prediction Paper

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> For over fifty years, a number of SD projects have been involved in the reproduction of problematic behaviors. Rarely has SD been used for point prediction, particularly when what to be reproduced are not reference modes but 'reference points'--the v...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Sun Feb 10, 2008 7:52 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Do marginal models marginalize modeling?
Replies: 13
Views: 11330

QUERY Do marginal models marginalize modeling?

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> The lack of formal SD education has been deemed as a reason why there are too many models that do not meet SD experts' minimum standard of quality. Here, there is a tendency to restrict the application of SD to ""SD problems""--un...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Mon Dec 10, 2007 7:11 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Policy paradox and SD
Replies: 21
Views: 22752

QUERY Policy paradox and SD

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> Dear all, Structural confirmation is a primary test of model validity. If model components and equations can be easily recognized, the model would pass this test. This is not a strong test. A big problem occurs when policies are easily recognized but...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Thu Oct 04, 2007 6:27 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Structural changes and validity
Replies: 17
Views: 12547

QUERY Structural changes and validity

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> Dear all, Structual validation is key to the success of model development. However, we have no test to determine whether a given model structure is stable over the time horizon of interest. Basic mechanisms may at best represent the ""past ...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Thu Oct 04, 2007 6:27 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Structural changes and validity
Replies: 17
Views: 12547

QUERY Structural changes and validity

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> Dear all, Structual validation is key to the success of model development. However, we have no test to determine whether a given model structure is stable over the time horizon of interest. Basic mechanisms may at best represent the ""past ...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Sat Aug 18, 2007 12:57 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Public Policy Analyses
Replies: 1
Views: 2761

QUERY Public Policy Analyses (SD6518)

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> Dear Sir, In an evaluation of public policy, there are four analyses: public hearing, cost-benefit analysis, technical feasibility study, and system dynamic modeling. >From system dynamics' perspective, which analysis should be given a serious consid...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Wed Mar 28, 2007 12:20 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Renaming System Dynamics (was Capitalize System Dynami
Replies: 24
Views: 15634

QUERY Renaming System Dynamics (was Capitalize System Dynami

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> I am reading the introductory book by Nancy Roberts and others. They stress the importance of policy choices in system dynamics. So let's me apply the concept to this issue. There are options to solve the searching problem. Renaming is a policy choic...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Sun Mar 25, 2007 12:48 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Renaming System Dynamics (was Capitalize System Dynami
Replies: 24
Views: 15634

QUERY Renaming System Dynamics (was Capitalize System Dynami

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> WAS Please Capitalize System Dynamics (SD6350) Toward the new name, I suggest one name for the field. System dynamics may become 'systemdynamics'. The advantages of this term are as follows: 1. The term has already entered common parlance among syste...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Tue Mar 20, 2007 11:24 am
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Please Capitalize System Dynamics
Replies: 18
Views: 13762

QUERY Please Capitalize System Dynamics

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> Fields like servomechanism and cybernetics have no problem with the usage of their names. There are two things in common. 1. Use single term as the fields' names 2. Be dictionary entries. System dynamics, by contrast, lacks these properties. Two word...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Sun Feb 11, 2007 2:34 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Future Development Directions
Replies: 32
Views: 21069

QUERY Future Development Directions

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> I strongly agree with Bob that, fundamentally, good system dynamics is simply good science. Reproducibility is vital to good science. What is the scientific method in SD? We know how to predict the implication of a given policy, but this is still unc...
by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@
Tue Feb 06, 2007 2:20 pm
Forum: SD Mailing List Archive
Topic: QUERY Structural or Behavioral Theory
Replies: 5
Views: 6165

QUERY Structural or Behavioral Theory

Posted by Monte Kietpawpan <kietpawpan@yahoo.com> SD has been regarded as a useful framework for theory development. Why is a theory created under this paradigm often called a theory of behavior? Why is the same theory not called a theory of structure? If scientific theories must explain why things ...