There is material about models for s-shaped growth, including s-shaped
growth followed by decay, on my system dynamics web page at the following URL:
http://www.public.asu.edu/~kirkwood/sysdyn/SDRes.htm
On that web page, Chapter 4 (Basic Feedback Structures) of "System Dynamics
Methods: A Quick Introduction" discusses models for s-shaped growth, both
without and with decay. Also, "New Product Dynamics: Illustrative System
Dynamics Models" discusses several s-shaped growth models and includes some
material on estimating parameters for such models. (However, this does not
discuss the situation with decay.)
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Craig W. Kirkwood
Department of Management, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-4006
(480) 965-6354 Fax: (480) 965-8314
craig.kirkwood@asu.edu http://www.public.asu.edu/~kirkwood
Models for S-Shaped Growth, with Decay
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