System Dynamics models of earthquakes
Posted: Thu Apr 08, 1999 6:06 pm
I have been developing a catastrophe response model for the New Zealand
agency responsible for responding to the damage to residential properties
damaged by earthquakes. It is focussed on insurance claims and relates to
recovery given availability of certain resources, rather than to expected
damage along a particular fault.
The key issue is that it is relatively easy to test the Catastrophe Response
Plan for small earthquakes, because we get enough of them, but difficult for
the "big one". Will the plan really work when the "big one" comes? How
long will it take to get people back into their homes? What will the
impact be of varying resource availabilities, and what will the costs be in
terms of insurance payouts and operating costs.
Feel free to Email me direct if you are interested and would like more
information.
Regards from the "Shaky Isles"
George
...........................................
Dr George F Stuart
Director
Future Impact Ltd
Wellington
New Zealand
Email: George@futureimpact.co.nz
agency responsible for responding to the damage to residential properties
damaged by earthquakes. It is focussed on insurance claims and relates to
recovery given availability of certain resources, rather than to expected
damage along a particular fault.
The key issue is that it is relatively easy to test the Catastrophe Response
Plan for small earthquakes, because we get enough of them, but difficult for
the "big one". Will the plan really work when the "big one" comes? How
long will it take to get people back into their homes? What will the
impact be of varying resource availabilities, and what will the costs be in
terms of insurance payouts and operating costs.
Feel free to Email me direct if you are interested and would like more
information.
Regards from the "Shaky Isles"
George
...........................................
Dr George F Stuart
Director
Future Impact Ltd
Wellington
New Zealand
Email: George@futureimpact.co.nz