help on hubbert peak.....coding...
Posted: Fri Nov 25, 2011 8:57 pm
I was trying to figure out the hubbert peak for coal of australia. And thank god i have figured out quite
well.
Now i am tring to do some sensitivity analysis. I have imposed two conditions.
one condition is on brown coal is that, i have got the data for brown coal for year 1960 - 2007. Then
i thought to reduce the use of brown coal by 40% by the year 2015 and from 2015 afterwards i want to
erase the use of brown coal permanantly. That means from 2007-2015 i will reduce by 40% and then from
2016 i will stop using brown coal.
and 2nd condition is, for black coal. Similarly i have got the data fopr 1960-2007. then i thought to
reduce the use of black coal by 40% by the year 2015 and then from 2016 to onwards the amount will be
same as of 2015th year.
for this i drew this diagram. And for brown coal and brown coal i have written the following code.
brown coal code:
IF THEN ELSE(Time<=2007,actual brown coal,IF THEN ELSE (Time>2007:AND:Time<2015,actual brown coal*(1*"policy of 60% of coal")^(Time-2007),actual brown coal*erase brown coal policy))
in this coding, i guess it is alright. But i am little bit confused about the value of policy of 60%
coal. What would be the value in here?
and for black coal code:
IF THEN ELSE(Time<=2007,actual black coal,IF THEN ELSE(Time>2007:AND:Time<2015,actual black coal*(1*"policy of 60% of coal")^(Time-2007),(actual black coal)))
if anyone can help me on solving this coding, i will highly appreciate this purpose and i will put
his/her name on my paper.
i am waiting for the reply.
well.
Now i am tring to do some sensitivity analysis. I have imposed two conditions.
one condition is on brown coal is that, i have got the data for brown coal for year 1960 - 2007. Then
i thought to reduce the use of brown coal by 40% by the year 2015 and from 2015 afterwards i want to
erase the use of brown coal permanantly. That means from 2007-2015 i will reduce by 40% and then from
2016 i will stop using brown coal.
and 2nd condition is, for black coal. Similarly i have got the data fopr 1960-2007. then i thought to
reduce the use of black coal by 40% by the year 2015 and then from 2016 to onwards the amount will be
same as of 2015th year.
for this i drew this diagram. And for brown coal and brown coal i have written the following code.
brown coal code:
IF THEN ELSE(Time<=2007,actual brown coal,IF THEN ELSE (Time>2007:AND:Time<2015,actual brown coal*(1*"policy of 60% of coal")^(Time-2007),actual brown coal*erase brown coal policy))
in this coding, i guess it is alright. But i am little bit confused about the value of policy of 60%
coal. What would be the value in here?
and for black coal code:
IF THEN ELSE(Time<=2007,actual black coal,IF THEN ELSE(Time>2007:AND:Time<2015,actual black coal*(1*"policy of 60% of coal")^(Time-2007),(actual black coal)))
if anyone can help me on solving this coding, i will highly appreciate this purpose and i will put
his/her name on my paper.
i am waiting for the reply.