Level of Detail in Models
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2000 12:31 pm
While I appreciate Carolus Gruetters attempt to clarify the question about
model "details" I guess I dont believe that "details" are usefully thought
of merely as non-essential elements.
First, this implies that the "level of detail" discussion boils down to a
simple two-part discrimination: essential vs. non-essential. I think this
does a disservice to those who struggle with understanding the value of
including or not including levels of detail. There are more than two
possible levels of detail.
Second, I believe that "level of detail" may not be a unitary concept. That
is, part of the issue with "details" seems to me to be an issue of where to
draw the model boundary -- how much to include in the model and how much to
leave out. Once the boundary decision is made, however, there is another
issue of modeling "distance" (as Dr. Forrester describes it.) This is an
issue of level of "aggregation" of model components.
I believe that decisions about model boundaries and decisions about levels
of aggregation are often made based on different criteria. Model boundaries
are chosen (primarily) so as to include the least number of components
necessary to generate the behavior of interest. Levels of aggregation are
sometimes chosen on a similar basis but may be based on other criteria:
model "face" credibility (for those who must use it), how useful these
"details" are in helping people understand the model (and the system being
modeled), the ability of the model to faithfully represent prospective
policy changes, explanatory power of the model, effort required to include
lower levels of aggregation (versus payoffs of doing so), etc.
The differences between "details" having to do with model boundaries and
"details" related to level of aggregation seem significant enough to me that
I suggest we be more precise when we discuss "details" and specify which of
these two kinds (or any others -- are there others?) we are talking about.
John W. Gunkler
jgunkler@sprintmail.com
model "details" I guess I dont believe that "details" are usefully thought
of merely as non-essential elements.
First, this implies that the "level of detail" discussion boils down to a
simple two-part discrimination: essential vs. non-essential. I think this
does a disservice to those who struggle with understanding the value of
including or not including levels of detail. There are more than two
possible levels of detail.
Second, I believe that "level of detail" may not be a unitary concept. That
is, part of the issue with "details" seems to me to be an issue of where to
draw the model boundary -- how much to include in the model and how much to
leave out. Once the boundary decision is made, however, there is another
issue of modeling "distance" (as Dr. Forrester describes it.) This is an
issue of level of "aggregation" of model components.
I believe that decisions about model boundaries and decisions about levels
of aggregation are often made based on different criteria. Model boundaries
are chosen (primarily) so as to include the least number of components
necessary to generate the behavior of interest. Levels of aggregation are
sometimes chosen on a similar basis but may be based on other criteria:
model "face" credibility (for those who must use it), how useful these
"details" are in helping people understand the model (and the system being
modeled), the ability of the model to faithfully represent prospective
policy changes, explanatory power of the model, effort required to include
lower levels of aggregation (versus payoffs of doing so), etc.
The differences between "details" having to do with model boundaries and
"details" related to level of aggregation seem significant enough to me that
I suggest we be more precise when we discuss "details" and specify which of
these two kinds (or any others -- are there others?) we are talking about.
John W. Gunkler
jgunkler@sprintmail.com