Sensitivity simulation and parameter correlation

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SionC
Member
Posts: 39
Joined: Tue Nov 18, 2008 8:44 am

Sensitivity simulation and parameter correlation

Post by SionC »

Hi,

I want to do some sensitivity simulations where the parameters that are being randomly generated are correlated. This is straight forward enough to do if the parameters are perfectly correlated. However I am interested in being able to define the degree of correlation between the randomly generated parameters for the sensitivity analysis. Has anyone any experience of doing this?

Cheers,

Siôn
tomfid
Administrator
Posts: 3816
Joined: Wed May 24, 2006 4:54 am

Re: Sensitivity simulation and parameter correlation

Post by tomfid »

There are two options:

Build a structure in the model that generates the correlation (there's a bivariate normal example in http://www.vensim.com/documentation/Models/OptSensi/MCMC).

Generate a sample using some other tool and use the File sensitivity option. http://www.vensim.com/documentation/sen ... ontrol.htm

If you can say more about your specific needs, I might have other thoughts.
LAUJJL
Senior Member
Posts: 1432
Joined: Fri May 23, 2003 10:09 am
Vensim version: DSS

Re: Sensitivity simulation and parameter correlation

Post by LAUJJL »

Hi Tom

I did not see in the Vensim documentation, where are stored the individual values for each period of time for the variables selected in the .lst file.

The only way that I have found so far is to do my own sensitivity analysis from VBA excel, generating each simulation using the DLL, sending to Vensim the values of the parameters and getting back the values of the variables selected to analyze it in Excel.

Any idea?

Regards.
JJ
SionC
Member
Posts: 39
Joined: Tue Nov 18, 2008 8:44 am

Re: Sensitivity simulation and parameter correlation

Post by SionC »

Hi Tom,

Thanks - I will take a look at these options.

Best wishes

Siôn
tomfid
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Posts: 3816
Joined: Wed May 24, 2006 4:54 am

Re: Sensitivity simulation and parameter correlation

Post by tomfid »

Hi JJ - The time series output for variables in the .lst is stored in the .vdf for the simulation run. You can get at it with the sensitivity graph, bar graph histogram, or stats tool options. For other analysis, you can extract the raw output by exporting the dataset (Model>Export Dataset...). - Tom
LAUJJL
Senior Member
Posts: 1432
Joined: Fri May 23, 2003 10:09 am
Vensim version: DSS

Re: Sensitivity simulation and parameter correlation

Post by LAUJJL »

Hi Tom

Thanks for the answer. It works fine, I can export to a tab delimited file, and from that to Excel.

Regards.

JJ
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