I need help to compile a list of valuable applications of System Dynamics in
various fields.
I want to argue that SD is a powerful methodology, able to solve problems in
many disciplines.
I use the qualification valuable to indicate that the examples in question
should be convincing
to the users of the discipline in question. Describing Hamlet with causal
loop diagrams or
stock-and-flows will hardly convert playwrights to adepts of SD.
I welcome any (partial) list that you might have compiled on your own.
Prof. Jose J. Gonzalez
Dept. of Computer Science, Agder College
Groosvn. 36
N-4890 GRIMSTAD, Norway
Phone: +47 37 25 32 40 (office) Fax: +47 37 25 30 01 (office)
+47 37 04 70 29 (home) +47 37 04 70 74 (home)
+47 92 09 09 39 (cellular)
Email: Jose.J.Gonzalez@hia.no
Valuable applications of SD
-
Jose.J.Gonzalez@hia.no (Jose J.
- Junior Member
- Posts: 2
- Joined: Fri Mar 29, 2002 3:39 am
-
jsterman@MIT.EDU (John Sterman)
- Senior Member
- Posts: 54
- Joined: Fri Mar 29, 2002 3:39 am
Valuable applications of SD
Jose,
See Sastry, A., & Sterman, J. D. (1993). Desert Island Dynamics: An
Annotated Guide to the Essential System Dynamics Literature. In Zepeda,
E. & Machuca, J. (Ed.), Proceedings of the 1993 International System
Dynamics Conference, 466-475. Cancun, Mexico: Monterrey Institute of
Technology.
Best,
John Sterman
Sloan School of Management
MIT, E53-351
30 Wadsworth Street
Cambridge, MA 02142
phone: 617/253-1951 fax: 617/258-7579 e-mail: jsterman@mit.edu
Visit the Virtual Proceedings of the 1996 International System Dynamics
Conference on the world wide web:
http://web.mit.edu/jsterman/www/SD96/home.html
The virtual proceedings includes conference information, the
registration form, a list of the papers to be presented, and,
ultimately, links to the authors work and related pages.
Comments and questions are welcome.
See Sastry, A., & Sterman, J. D. (1993). Desert Island Dynamics: An
Annotated Guide to the Essential System Dynamics Literature. In Zepeda,
E. & Machuca, J. (Ed.), Proceedings of the 1993 International System
Dynamics Conference, 466-475. Cancun, Mexico: Monterrey Institute of
Technology.
Best,
John Sterman
Sloan School of Management
MIT, E53-351
30 Wadsworth Street
Cambridge, MA 02142
phone: 617/253-1951 fax: 617/258-7579 e-mail: jsterman@mit.edu
Visit the Virtual Proceedings of the 1996 International System Dynamics
Conference on the world wide web:
http://web.mit.edu/jsterman/www/SD96/home.html
The virtual proceedings includes conference information, the
registration form, a list of the papers to be presented, and,
ultimately, links to the authors work and related pages.
Comments and questions are welcome.
-
George Richardson
- Senior Member
- Posts: 68
- Joined: Fri Mar 29, 2002 3:39 am
Valuable applications of SD
In a recent note Gonzalez asked for a favorite list of "valuable"
applications of system dynamics. I have a book coming out in the
International Library of Management which is two volumes of such
articles. The title of the collection is _Modelling for Management:
Simulation in Support of Systems Thinking_ and it contains the following
important works:
I - Perspectives and methods
Sterman, J. D. (1988). A Skeptics Guide to Computer Models. In G. O.
Barney & e. al. (Eds.), Managing a Nation Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
Richmond, B. Systems Thinking: Critical Thinking Skills for the 1990s
and Beyond. System Dynamics Review 9(2): 113-133.
Richardson, G.P. System Dynamics: Simulation for Policy Analysis from a
Feedback Perspective, in Qualitative Simulation Modeling and Analysis,
P. A. Fishwick & P. A. Luker, eds. New York: Springer Verlag, 1991.
Morecroft, J. D. W. (1984). Strategy Support Models. Strategic Management
Journal, 5(3), 215-229.
Sterman, J.D. (1994). Learning in and about complex systems. System
Dynamics Review 10(2-3).
Forrester, J. W. 1987. 14 obvious truths (1960). System Dynamics
Review 3(2): 156-159.
II - Systems thinking and dynamic decision making
Senge, P.M. (1990). The Leaders New Work: Building Learning
Organizations. Sloan Management Review 32,1: 7-23.
Meadows, D. 1982. Whole Earth Models and Systems. Coevolution Quarterly
(Summer): 98-108.
Kim, D.H. (1992). Systems Archetypes. Toolbox Reprint Series. Pegasus
Communications, P.O. Box 1281, Kendall Square, Cambridge, MA 02142. pp.
3-26.
Morecroft, J. D. W. 1988. System Dynamics and Microworlds for
Policymakers. European Journal of Operational Research 35(3): 301-320.
Sterman, J. D. (1989). Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of
Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment. Management Science,
35(3), 321-339.
Sterman, J. D., and M. Paich. 1993. Boom, Bust, and Failures to Learn in
Experimental Markets. Management Science 39,12: 1439-1458.
III - Corporate Policy and Management
Hall, Roger. 1976. A System Pathology of an Organization: The Rise and
Fall of the Old Saturday Evening Post. Administrative Sciences Quarterly
21 (July): 185-211
Morecroft, J. D. W., Lane, D. C., & Viita, P. S. (1991). Modelling Growth
Strategy in a Biotechnology Startup Firm. System Dynamics Review, 7(2),
93-116.
Merten, P. P., Loffler, R., & Wiedmann, K.-P. (1987). Portfolio
simulation: a tool to support strategic management. System Dynamics
Review, 3(2), 81-101.
Weil, H. B. and L.S. White. 1994. Business Transformation: The Key to
Long Term Survival and Success. Working paper 108-94, Sloan School of
Management, M.I.T., 50 Memorial Drive, Cambridge, MA 02139.
Urban, G., J. Jauser, J. Roberts. 1991. Prelaunch forecasting of new
automobiles. Management Science 36,4: 401-421.
Clark, Jr., T.D., R.E. Trempe, & H.E. Trichlin. 1983. Complex
Multiechelon Inventory System Management Using A Dynamic Simulation
Model. Decision Sciences, 14(3), 389-407.
Morecroft, J. D. W. 1983. A Systems Perspective on Material Requirements
Planning. Decision Sciences 14(1): 1-18.
Clark, T., Jr., and F. K. Augustine Jr. 1992. Using system dynamics to
measure the value of information in a firm. System Dynamics Review 8(2):
149-174.
Cooper, K. G. 1980. Naval Ship Production: A Claim Settled and
Framework Built. The Institute of Management Sciences Interfaces 10(6):
20-36.
Abdel-Hamid, T.K. and S. Madnick "The Elusive Silver Lining: How we Fail
to Learn from Software Development Failures." Sloan Management Review,
Vol 32, no. 1, Fall 1990: 39-48.
Homer, J. B. (1985). Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications
for prevention and control. System Dynamics Review, 1(1), 42-62.
Kim, D.H. and P.M. Senge. (1994). Putting systems thinking into
practice. System Dynamics Review 10,2-3 (summer-fall).
IV - Public Policy and Management
Sterman, J. D., & Richardson, G. P. (1985). An Experiment to Evaluate
Methods for Estimating Fossil Fuel Resources. Journal of Forecasting,
4(2), 197-226.
Ford, A., and M. Bull. 1989. Using system dynamics for conservation
policy analysis in the Pacific Northwest. System Dynamics Review 5(1): 1-16.
Ford, A. 1990. Estimating the Impact of Efficiency Standards on the
Uncertainty of the Northwest Electric System. Operations Research
(July-August).
Naill, R. (1992). A system dynamics model for national energy policy
planning. System Dynamics Review, 8(1), 1-20.
Mashayekhi, A. N. (1992). Transition in the New York State solid waste
system: a dynamic analysis. System Dynamics Review, 9(1), 23-48.
Saeed, K. 1987. A Re-evaluation of the Effort to Alleviate Poverty and
Hunger. Socio Economic Planning Sciences 21(5): 291-304.
Mashayeki, A. N. 1990. Rangelands destruction under population growth:
the case of Iran. System Dynamics Review 6(2): 167-193.
Richardson, G.P., D.F. Andersen, I. Lurie and S. Ratanawijitrasin. 1990.
Simulating the Dynamics of Social Program Management: The Case of JOBS
Implementation. Working paper, Rockefeller College, University at
Albany-SUNY, Albany, NY 12222.
Homer, J. B. (1987). A Diffusion Model with Application to Evolving
Medical Technologies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 31(3),
197-218.
Wolstenholme, E.F. (1993). A Case Study in Community Care Using Systems
Thinking. Journal of Operational Research 44(9): 925-934.
Homer, J. B. (1992). A system dynamics model of national cocaine
prevalence. System Dynamics Review, 9(1), 49-78.
Richardson, G. P., & Lamitie, R. E. (1989). Improving Connecticut School
Aid: A Case Study with Model-Based Policy Analysis. J. Education Finance,
15(2).
Andersen, D.F. (1990). Analyzing Who Gains and Who Loses: the Case of
School Finance Reform in New York State. System Dynamics Review 6,1
(winter): 21-43
V - Methods of modeling with management
Randers, J. 1980. Guidelines for Model Conceptualization. In J. Randers
(Ed.), Elements of the System Dynamics Method (pp. 117-138). Cambridge
MA: Productivity Press.
Saeed, K. 1992. Slicing a complex problem for systems dynamics
modeling. System Dynamics Review 8(3): 251-262.
Reagen-Cirincione, P., S. Schuman and G.P. Richardson (1991). Decision
Modeling: Tools for Strategic Thinking. Interfaces 21,6 (Nov-Dec 1991).
Vennix, J.A.M., J.W. Gubbels, D. Post, and H.J. Poppen. (1990). A
Structured Approach to Knowledge Elicitation in Conceptual Model
Building. System Dynamics Review 6,2 (summer): 194-208.
Richardson, G.P, and D.F. Andersen (1995). Teamwork in Group Model
Building. System Dynamics Review 11,1 (winter 1995):
Morecroft, J. D. W. (1985). Rationality in the Analysis of Behavioral
Simulation Models. Management Science, 31(7), 900-916.
Mass, N.J. 1981/1991. Diagnosing Surprise Model Behavior: a Tool for
Evolving Behavioral and Policy Insights. System Dynamics Review 7(1): 68-86.
Forrester, J. W., & Senge, P. M. (1980). Tests for Building Confidence in
System Dynamics Models. In A. A. Legasto Jr. & e. al. (Eds.), System
Dynamics (pp. 209-228). New York: North-Holland.
Meadows, D. H. 1989. System Dynamics Meets the Press. System Dynamics
Review 5(1): 68-80.
I hope this list, and the collection, is helpful!
...GPR
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
George P. Richardson G.P.Richardson@Albany.edu
Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy Phone: 518-442-3859
University at Albany - SUNY, Albany, NY 12222 Fax: 518-442-3398
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
applications of system dynamics. I have a book coming out in the
International Library of Management which is two volumes of such
articles. The title of the collection is _Modelling for Management:
Simulation in Support of Systems Thinking_ and it contains the following
important works:
I - Perspectives and methods
Sterman, J. D. (1988). A Skeptics Guide to Computer Models. In G. O.
Barney & e. al. (Eds.), Managing a Nation Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
Richmond, B. Systems Thinking: Critical Thinking Skills for the 1990s
and Beyond. System Dynamics Review 9(2): 113-133.
Richardson, G.P. System Dynamics: Simulation for Policy Analysis from a
Feedback Perspective, in Qualitative Simulation Modeling and Analysis,
P. A. Fishwick & P. A. Luker, eds. New York: Springer Verlag, 1991.
Morecroft, J. D. W. (1984). Strategy Support Models. Strategic Management
Journal, 5(3), 215-229.
Sterman, J.D. (1994). Learning in and about complex systems. System
Dynamics Review 10(2-3).
Forrester, J. W. 1987. 14 obvious truths (1960). System Dynamics
Review 3(2): 156-159.
II - Systems thinking and dynamic decision making
Senge, P.M. (1990). The Leaders New Work: Building Learning
Organizations. Sloan Management Review 32,1: 7-23.
Meadows, D. 1982. Whole Earth Models and Systems. Coevolution Quarterly
(Summer): 98-108.
Kim, D.H. (1992). Systems Archetypes. Toolbox Reprint Series. Pegasus
Communications, P.O. Box 1281, Kendall Square, Cambridge, MA 02142. pp.
3-26.
Morecroft, J. D. W. 1988. System Dynamics and Microworlds for
Policymakers. European Journal of Operational Research 35(3): 301-320.
Sterman, J. D. (1989). Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of
Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment. Management Science,
35(3), 321-339.
Sterman, J. D., and M. Paich. 1993. Boom, Bust, and Failures to Learn in
Experimental Markets. Management Science 39,12: 1439-1458.
III - Corporate Policy and Management
Hall, Roger. 1976. A System Pathology of an Organization: The Rise and
Fall of the Old Saturday Evening Post. Administrative Sciences Quarterly
21 (July): 185-211
Morecroft, J. D. W., Lane, D. C., & Viita, P. S. (1991). Modelling Growth
Strategy in a Biotechnology Startup Firm. System Dynamics Review, 7(2),
93-116.
Merten, P. P., Loffler, R., & Wiedmann, K.-P. (1987). Portfolio
simulation: a tool to support strategic management. System Dynamics
Review, 3(2), 81-101.
Weil, H. B. and L.S. White. 1994. Business Transformation: The Key to
Long Term Survival and Success. Working paper 108-94, Sloan School of
Management, M.I.T., 50 Memorial Drive, Cambridge, MA 02139.
Urban, G., J. Jauser, J. Roberts. 1991. Prelaunch forecasting of new
automobiles. Management Science 36,4: 401-421.
Clark, Jr., T.D., R.E. Trempe, & H.E. Trichlin. 1983. Complex
Multiechelon Inventory System Management Using A Dynamic Simulation
Model. Decision Sciences, 14(3), 389-407.
Morecroft, J. D. W. 1983. A Systems Perspective on Material Requirements
Planning. Decision Sciences 14(1): 1-18.
Clark, T., Jr., and F. K. Augustine Jr. 1992. Using system dynamics to
measure the value of information in a firm. System Dynamics Review 8(2):
149-174.
Cooper, K. G. 1980. Naval Ship Production: A Claim Settled and
Framework Built. The Institute of Management Sciences Interfaces 10(6):
20-36.
Abdel-Hamid, T.K. and S. Madnick "The Elusive Silver Lining: How we Fail
to Learn from Software Development Failures." Sloan Management Review,
Vol 32, no. 1, Fall 1990: 39-48.
Homer, J. B. (1985). Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications
for prevention and control. System Dynamics Review, 1(1), 42-62.
Kim, D.H. and P.M. Senge. (1994). Putting systems thinking into
practice. System Dynamics Review 10,2-3 (summer-fall).
IV - Public Policy and Management
Sterman, J. D., & Richardson, G. P. (1985). An Experiment to Evaluate
Methods for Estimating Fossil Fuel Resources. Journal of Forecasting,
4(2), 197-226.
Ford, A., and M. Bull. 1989. Using system dynamics for conservation
policy analysis in the Pacific Northwest. System Dynamics Review 5(1): 1-16.
Ford, A. 1990. Estimating the Impact of Efficiency Standards on the
Uncertainty of the Northwest Electric System. Operations Research
(July-August).
Naill, R. (1992). A system dynamics model for national energy policy
planning. System Dynamics Review, 8(1), 1-20.
Mashayekhi, A. N. (1992). Transition in the New York State solid waste
system: a dynamic analysis. System Dynamics Review, 9(1), 23-48.
Saeed, K. 1987. A Re-evaluation of the Effort to Alleviate Poverty and
Hunger. Socio Economic Planning Sciences 21(5): 291-304.
Mashayeki, A. N. 1990. Rangelands destruction under population growth:
the case of Iran. System Dynamics Review 6(2): 167-193.
Richardson, G.P., D.F. Andersen, I. Lurie and S. Ratanawijitrasin. 1990.
Simulating the Dynamics of Social Program Management: The Case of JOBS
Implementation. Working paper, Rockefeller College, University at
Albany-SUNY, Albany, NY 12222.
Homer, J. B. (1987). A Diffusion Model with Application to Evolving
Medical Technologies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 31(3),
197-218.
Wolstenholme, E.F. (1993). A Case Study in Community Care Using Systems
Thinking. Journal of Operational Research 44(9): 925-934.
Homer, J. B. (1992). A system dynamics model of national cocaine
prevalence. System Dynamics Review, 9(1), 49-78.
Richardson, G. P., & Lamitie, R. E. (1989). Improving Connecticut School
Aid: A Case Study with Model-Based Policy Analysis. J. Education Finance,
15(2).
Andersen, D.F. (1990). Analyzing Who Gains and Who Loses: the Case of
School Finance Reform in New York State. System Dynamics Review 6,1
(winter): 21-43
V - Methods of modeling with management
Randers, J. 1980. Guidelines for Model Conceptualization. In J. Randers
(Ed.), Elements of the System Dynamics Method (pp. 117-138). Cambridge
MA: Productivity Press.
Saeed, K. 1992. Slicing a complex problem for systems dynamics
modeling. System Dynamics Review 8(3): 251-262.
Reagen-Cirincione, P., S. Schuman and G.P. Richardson (1991). Decision
Modeling: Tools for Strategic Thinking. Interfaces 21,6 (Nov-Dec 1991).
Vennix, J.A.M., J.W. Gubbels, D. Post, and H.J. Poppen. (1990). A
Structured Approach to Knowledge Elicitation in Conceptual Model
Building. System Dynamics Review 6,2 (summer): 194-208.
Richardson, G.P, and D.F. Andersen (1995). Teamwork in Group Model
Building. System Dynamics Review 11,1 (winter 1995):
Morecroft, J. D. W. (1985). Rationality in the Analysis of Behavioral
Simulation Models. Management Science, 31(7), 900-916.
Mass, N.J. 1981/1991. Diagnosing Surprise Model Behavior: a Tool for
Evolving Behavioral and Policy Insights. System Dynamics Review 7(1): 68-86.
Forrester, J. W., & Senge, P. M. (1980). Tests for Building Confidence in
System Dynamics Models. In A. A. Legasto Jr. & e. al. (Eds.), System
Dynamics (pp. 209-228). New York: North-Holland.
Meadows, D. H. 1989. System Dynamics Meets the Press. System Dynamics
Review 5(1): 68-80.
I hope this list, and the collection, is helpful!
...GPR
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
George P. Richardson G.P.Richardson@Albany.edu
Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy Phone: 518-442-3859
University at Albany - SUNY, Albany, NY 12222 Fax: 518-442-3398
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
Rhoderick van der Wyck
- Junior Member
- Posts: 4
- Joined: Fri Mar 29, 2002 3:39 am
Valuable applications of SD
------ =_NextPart_000_01BB2563.50EB2B80
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Jose,=20
For a list of applications take a look at the Powersim Institute Home =
page:http://www.psiminst.com or take up contact the webmaster there.
Also, at Powersim in Bergen, Norway, they might be able to help you. I =
know that they have developed many different applications for clients =
there. WE at Oasis in the Netherlands have developed budgetting models, =
and have developed strategic personnnel planning models for both the =
Dutch and the Czech ministeries of Defence.
Rhoderick van der Wyck
Consultant
Oasis Process Consulting
Tel. +31 30 6066336
Fax +31 30 6065844
rvdwyck@mailhost.net
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Jose,=20
For a list of applications take a look at the Powersim Institute Home =
page:http://www.psiminst.com or take up contact the webmaster there.
Also, at Powersim in Bergen, Norway, they might be able to help you. I =
know that they have developed many different applications for clients =
there. WE at Oasis in the Netherlands have developed budgetting models, =
and have developed strategic personnnel planning models for both the =
Dutch and the Czech ministeries of Defence.
Rhoderick van der Wyck
Consultant
Oasis Process Consulting
Tel. +31 30 6066336
Fax +31 30 6065844
rvdwyck@mailhost.net